4th December, Cryptocurrency Market Research Report
04/12/2025
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Global 28th Daily Research Report
Global Index Futures Summary: US and major European futures are modestly positive — a cautious risk-on tone without conviction. Technical momentum favors intraday longs in big caps (S&P/Nasdaq), but breadth is mixed with pockets of weakness in Korea and Hong Kong. Economic calendars (US PMI, durable goods, EU PMIs) and corporate earnings releases will determine whether this soft lift expands into a sustainable rally.
SPOT / RATES
| Symbol | Value / Note | 2-line live market takeaway |
| US05Y | 3.562% | 5-yr yield little changed — implies front-to-intermediate curve still pricing sticky rates. Watch for 5-yr moves as signal for credit-sensitive stocks. |
| US10Y | 3.990% | 10-yr yield slightly down — bond yields near 4% keep equity multiple expansion limited. Rising yields would press tech and growth names. |
| VIX | 17.47 | VIX around 17 — modest risk premium; not panic but higher than ultra-calm—prefer smaller position sizes on long directional trades. |
MAJOR INDEX FUTURES (GLOBAL)
| Symbol | Quote | 2-line live market takeaway |
| US500 (S&P500 futures) | 6,832.2 (+0.20%) | Small positive — breadth likely mixed; momentum favors intraday longs but watch macro headlines. Day trades OK; avoid big overnight positions. |
| US30 (Dow futures) | 47,478.00 (+0.13%) | Broad industrial strength but narrow index — defensive cyclicals holding; prefer sector hedges if you hold cyclical longs. |
| NAS100 (Nasdaq100 futures) | 25,295.2 (+0.19%) | Tech futures modestly positive — large caps leading; volatility remains a risk for levered longs. |
| FCE1! (CAC futures) | 8,120.0 (+0.19%) | European futures up modestly — risk-on sentiment across EU ahead of data; watch ECB commentary. |
| FDAX1! (DAX futures) | 23,858 (+0.19%) | German industrials steady; cyclical recovery still tentative — currency moves could flip the session. |
| FESX1! (EuroStoxx) | 5,669 (+0.12%) | Slight gains — bank and energy names driving marginally; data or geopolitics could flip momentum. |
| 39910 (China / CSI?) | 2,453.8094 (+0.96%) | China futures strong — local liquidity or stimulus chatter supporting; consider China exposure for short-term strength. |
| HSI (Hang Seng) | 25,858.90 (-0.34%) | Hong Kong weaker — China underperformance mixed; avoid long large caps without stop. |
| J225 (Nikkei futures) | 50,127.3 (+0.15%) | Japan steady positive — Yen and risk flows matter; exporters sensitive to currency. |
| XJO (ASX futures) | 8,614.1 (-0.04%) | Australia flat — materials and miners will decide intraday; commodity moves key. |
| KOSPI | 3,926.59 (-1.51%) | Disappointing — tech weakness in Korea; avoid momentum longs in export techs. |
| JIRUS (Russia) | 2,639.31 (+0.68%) | Russia equities modestly positive — geopolitical noise; high country risk, size positions accordingly. |
| MZNPI | 29,172.15 (+1.14%) | (Emerging index) strong — risk-on in EM pockets; liquidity may be thin, use caution. |
FOREX (MAJORS)
| Pair | Quote | 2-line live market takeaway |
| EURUSD | 1.15638 (-0.27%) | Euro softer — Dovish Europe / stronger dollar mix; exporters/importers must watch FX risk intraday. |
| GBPUSD | 1.32120 (-0.20%) | Pound down modestly — UK data or BoE chatter could reverse; avoid long GBP without clear catalyst. |
| USDJPY | 156.12 (-0.10%) | Yen weak — BOJ policy divergence remains driver; currency moves make Japan equities sensitive. |
| USDINR | 89.4600 (+0.15%) | INR slightly weaker vs USD — rupee moves will impact Indian ADRs/commodity importers. |
HIGHEST VOLUME STOCKS (US)
| Ticker | Price | 2-line live market takeaway |
| NVDA | 180.26 USD (+1.37%) | High volume and up — momentum remains; earnings/AI narratives keep bid but valuation sensitive to yields. |
| AVGO (Broadcom) | 397.57 USD (+3.26%) | Strong—chip infra demand appears firm; trade with respect to semi cycle data and backlog updates. |
| TSLA | 426.58 USD (+1.71%) | High liquidity; auto demand/energy commentary will move price sharply—avoid gambler sized positions. |
| META | 633.61 USD (-0.41%) | Slight pullback on profit taking; ad/revenue guidance or platform news will swing it intraday. |
| MSFT | 485.50 USD (+1.78%) | Large cap strength — cloud/AI tailwinds intact; good for rotation into quality tech. |
| GOOG (Alphabet) | 320.28 USD (-1.04%) | On the back foot — ad softness or regulatory noise possible; use tight stops. |
MOST VOLATILE STOCKS (US smallcaps)
| Ticker | Price | 2-line live market takeaway |
| ZYXI | 1.59 (+115.62%) | Explosive move — likely low liquidity/news driven; these are gambling trades — size tiny. |
| SMX | 17.40 (+194.42%) | Big gap mover — either takeover/press release; if you’re not trading news, stay clear. |
| KTTA | 1.06 (+117.39%) | Volatile microcap — avoid unless scalping with strict stop. |
| INHD | 0.2255 (-16.33%) | Sharp drop — downside momentum likely to continue; short if you can manage risk, else wait. |
| KALA | 0.9104 (+42.63%) | Volatility spike — biotech headline driven; binary event risk. |
| YGMZ | 0.1230 (-34.15%) | Heavy selloff — avoid catch-the-fall risk without clear support. |
STOCK GAINERS (REGULAR HOURS)
| Ticker | Price | 2-line live market takeaway |
| SMX | 17.40 (+194.42%) | See above — news driven; avoid enter unless you read release. |
| MNDR | 2.65 (+39.47%) | Strong momentum — chase only with tiny size. |
| VRCA | 6.71 (+31.05%) | Up on possible catalyst — event risk if catalyst fades. |
| BQ | 2.28 (+29.55%) | Small cap bounce — treat as short-term trade only. |
| QNCX | 3.45 (+29.21%) | Speculative — volume matters, use stop. |
| OSS | 5.95 (+29.07%) | High intraday pop — fadeable after extended rallies. |
STOCK LOSERS (REGULAR HOURS)
| Ticker | Price | 2-line live market takeaway |
| PD (PagerDuty) | 11.64 (-23.32%) | Heavy drop — either earnings or guidance miss; cut losses if you own without plan. |
| AMBA | 73.89 (-18.78%) | Semiconductor/device seller down — watch sector peers for confirmation. |
| SKIL | 10.46 (-18.73%) | Sharp selloff — likely earnings or revision; avoid catching the knife. |
| PHGE | 4.70 (-18.69%) | Weakness may continue — high risk for long. |
| SNT | 3.58 (-18.26%) | Momentum break — prefer to short rallies. |
| NTNX | 48.34 (-17.75%) | Cloud stock down — revenue/growth concerns; risk healthy for long holders. |
CRYPTO — MARKET CAP RANKING
| Coin | Price | Market Cap | 2-line live market takeaway |
| BTC | 91,478.62 (+0.16%) | 1.83T USD | Bitcoin grinding sideways — institutional flows steady; macro risk events can spike correlation with equities. |
| ETH | 3,030.51 (+0.50%) | 365.56B USD | Ethereum positive — DeFi flows support; watch for on-chain liquidity changes and macro risk. |
| USDT | 0.99988 (0.00%) | 184.54B USD | Stablecoin stable — no signal; monitor redemption pressure during drawdowns. |
| XRP | 2.1914 (-0.40%) | 132.21B USD | Slightly weak — legal/regulatory news can shift price fast. |
| BNB | 888.78 (-0.79%) | 122.4B USD | Exchange token slightly down — exchange volumes will determine next leg. |
| SOL | 140.66 (-0.13%) | 78.63B USD | Solana quiet — network activity and token staking flows matter intraday. |
TVL RANKING (DeFi)
| Protocol | Price | TVL | 2-line takeaway |
| Aave | 185.01 (-0.51%) | 54.45B USD | TVL leader — on-chain liquidity healthy; DeFi risk-on persists when TVL stable. |
| Lido | 0.66529 (-0.39%) | 26.03B USD | Staking flows important; ETH staking narrative supportive long term. |
| Ethena, Babylon, Uniswap, Pendle | see above | 8.62B / 5.08B / 4.13B / 4.09B | Smaller TVL protocols — higher sensitivity to DeFi flows and hacks; trade size small. |
CRYPTO GAINERS / LOSERS
| Gainers | Price / Chg | 2-line takeaway |
| Turbo | 0.0024866 (+55.39%) | Microcap alt — headline/speculation driven; extremely risky. |
| BAT | 0.27800 (+18.59%) | Utility token bounce — tradeable but correlation to risk appetite. |
| WEMIX, SKY, MERL, AIOZ | see above | Momentum plays — volume and liquidity dictate execution. |
| Losers | Price / Chg | 2-line takeaway |
| SuperVerse | 0.24313 (-14.72%) | Selloffs in small tokens — avoid catching falling knives. |
| HUSD, MONAD, VSN, DASH, FFUSD | see above | Broad small-cap depreciation — stay out unless scalping with strict stops. |
ENERGY FUTURES
| Contract | Price | 2-line takeaway |
| CL1! (Crude Oil) | 59.08 USD/bbl (+0.73%) | Oil up modestly — OPEC cues, inventory data, and geopolitics key; energy stocks likely to follow. |
| NG1! (Henry Hub) | 4.650 USD (+2.02%) | Gas strong — weather and storage reports critical; watch natural gas-sensitive names. |
| BRN1! (Brent) | 62.63 USD (-0.38%) | Brent flat — global demand concerns temper upside; trade with risk controls. |
| RB1! (RBOB), HO1! (ULSD) | 1.8559 / 2.3355 (+1.57 / +1.53%) | Refining complex moving — gasoline/diesel strength suggests seasonal demand. |
| AEZ1! (NY Ethanol) | 1.9000 (0.00%) | Stable — ethanol tied to corn prices and blending mandates. |
AGRICULTURAL FUTURES
| Contract | Price | 2-line takeaway |
| KC1! (Coffee) | 381.55 USX/LBR (+0.49%) | Coffee slightly up — weather and logistics underpin prices; trade beans on news. |
| CT1! (Cotton) | 64.52 (-0.08%) | Cotton flat — fundamentals quiet; watch crop reports. |
| ZW1! (Wheat) | 540’4 (+0.23%) | Wheat marginally firmer — geopolitics and export flows crucial. |
| SB1! (Sugar) | 15.11 (-0.20%) | Sugar soft — demand concerns; avoid large directional bets. |
| ZS1! (Soybean), ZC1! (Corn) | Soy +0.60% / Corn +1.95% | Corn stronger — biofuel and supply tightness boosting corn; trade ags with weather risk in mind. |
METALS FUTURES
| Contract | Price | 2-line takeaway |
| GC1! (Gold) | 4,221.3 USD (+0.45%) | Gold up — safe-haven inflows and real yield dynamics supporting; good hedge against equity risk. |
| SI1! (Silver) | 54.650 (+1.95%) | Silver outperforms — combo of industrial + safe haven; watch miners for leverage. |
| PL1! (Platinum) | 1,647.7 (+3.88%) | Strong — industrial demand or supply constraints; positive for related miners. |
| HG1! (Copper) | 5.1840 (-0.19%) | Copper slightly weak — demand concerns; risk to cyclicals and EM exporters. |
| PA1! (Palladium), ALI1! (Aluminum) | see above | Mixed metals picture — industrial cycle uncertain; size positions accordingly. |
MAJORS (FX CROSS CHECK)
| Pair | Quote | 2-line takeaway |
| EURUSD | 1.15689 (-0.22%) | Euro down — keep FX hedges tight for euro exposure. |
| USDJPY | 156.117 (-0.10%) | Yen weak — exporters benefit but currency risk high. |
| GBPUSD | 1.3216 (-0.14%) | Pound soft — BoE rhetoric could flip intraday. |
| AUDUSD | 0.65271 (-0.05%) | AUD flat — commodity sensitivity; watch iron ore/China cues. |
| USDCAD | 1.40100 (-0.12%) | CAD stable — oil moves could change intraday. |
| USDCHF | 0.80555 (+0.14%) | CHF slightly strong — safe haven flows; Swiss names sensitive. |
CURRENCY INDICES
| Index | Value | 2-line takeaway |
| DXY (US Dollar) | 99.684 (+0.15%) | Dollar firm — global risk-on tempered; carries through to commodities and EM FX. |
| EXY (Euro index) | 115.68 (-0.23%) | Euro weaker — watch macro prints from Eurozone. |
| JXY (Yen index) | 64.06 (+0.22%) | Yen mixed — BOJ policy the swing factor. |
| BXY, SXY, CXY | see above | Pound/Franc/Canadian indices: small moves — country specifics dominate moves. |
US BONDS / MAJOR 10Y BONDS
| US Tenor | Price / Yield | 2-line takeaway |
| 1y | 3.448 disc YIELD, 3.589% | Short end still pricing sustained policy rates; financials and leveraged positions sensitive. |
| 2y | 99.809 % of PAR, 3.475% | 2-yr market pricing terminal rate; watch Fed speakers. |
| 5y | 99.695 % of PAR, 3.567% | Intermediate yields steady — affects mortgage-sensitive sectors. |
| 10y | 100.047 % of PAR, 3.994% | Long yield just under 4% — keeps discounting pressure on growth stocks. |
| 20y | 100.242 % of PAR, 4.606% | Longer yields higher — long duration assets at risk. |
| 30y | 99.789 % of PAR, 4.638% | Elevated long yields — real estate/lenders face borrowing cost headwinds. |
| Major 10Y | Price & Yield | 2-line takeaway |
| USA (US10Y) | 100.047% / 3.994% | US rates near 4% — global capital allocation leans to yield; tech under pressure. |
| EU10Y | 99.272% / 2.685% | EMU yields lower — FX and rate differentials drive flows. |
| GB10Y | 100.440% / 4.440% | UK yields high — gilt volatility impacts UK banks and pensions. |
| DE10Y | 99.272% / 2.685% | German yield anchored lower — relative safety vs US. |
| FR10Y | 100.743% / 3.411% | France similar — spreads vs Germany matter for European banks. |
| IT10Y | 101.875% / 3.402% | Italy slightly pricey — political risk can widen spreads quickly. |
Spot / Rates summary: The short-to-intermediate yield curve shows rates broadly near multi-year highs (5y/10y ~3.56/3.99%). Technically yields have paused but the overall regime is higher-for-longer given central bank hawkish bias and resilient US data. For markets that hate higher discount rates (growth/tech), this is a persistent headwind; for financials and value cyclicals it can be supportive. Watch Fed speakers, CPI prints, and any unexpected liquidity changes — they will be the near-term catalysts.
Forex summary: Dollar strength is present but not runaway — DXY ~99.7. EUR and GBP are under pressure; JPY remains weak. FX moves are being driven by rate differentials and central bank guidance. For traders, currency moves are the most direct transmitter of global risk appetite to equities and commodities — hedge exposures where appropriate.
US equities (high volume & volatile stocks) summary: Tech mega-caps (NVDA, MSFT, NVDA) continue to lead on AI/cloud narratives while other large caps show rotation. Microcaps and volatile names show headline-driven blowups — these are not structural trades and should be treated as news scalps. Technically, large cap indices trade near short-term resistance; breadth matters — if small-caps and EM roll over, the rally is weak.
Commodities (energies, metals, ags) summary: Oil, gas, and refined products are modestly firmer — geopolitical/seasonal demand and inventory reports are the key drivers. Precious metals (gold/silver) are up — signaling persistent risk premium and bond real yield support. Agricultural prices show selective strength (corn) — weather and biofuel mandates will remain price drivers.
Crypto & DeFi summary: BTC and ETH are flat to slightly up — risk appetite intact but fragmented across alts (big gainers/losers reflect retail/spec flows). DeFi TVL leaders like Aave/Lido indicate on-chain liquidity remains meaningful. Macro-correlated flows (rate shocks, equities selloffs) will rapidly move crypto; manage leverage tightly.
Bonds summary: Long yields near 4% keep pressure on long-duration assets. Technicals show sideways to slightly higher yields; economically, inflation prints and Fed signals will move yields sharply. Duration risk is non-trivial — hedge where portfolio sensitivity is high.
Practical trader takeaways & cautions (actionable)
Short actionable checklist (for your trading screen right now)
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