4th December, India & Global Market Report
04/12/2025
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Cryptocurrency Global Market Research Report
Crypto & Bitcoin Trading Outlook
Trading Strategy for Today:
The market is currently caught in a divergence between bullish fundamental news (imminent Fed rate cuts and the end of quantitative tightening) and exhausted technical indicators. For Bitcoin ($93,200), the “Sell” ratings on technical dashboards suggest the current rally to $93k may be a liquidity grab rather than a sustained breakout. Traders should avoid chasing the green candles at market open. Instead, wait for a retest of support near $91,500 – $92,000 to enter long positions, targeting a scalp towards $95,000. Use tight stop-losses below $90,500, as a break below this level could trigger a flush to liquidate over-leveraged longs. The key driver today is “risk-off” profit-taking ahead of tomorrow’s PCE data, so cash preservation is better than aggressive leverage.
Altcoin Focus (ETH, XRP, SOL):
Ethereum is the standout “Buy” candidate today following the successful Fusaka Upgrade, which has lowered Layer-2 costs and boosted transaction throughput. Look for entries on ETH near $3,180 with a target of $3,350. Conversely, XRP ($2.15) and Solana ($143) are showing signs of consolidation. XRP’s network activity has dropped despite price resilience, signaling a potential “fake-out”—avoid longing XRP until it clears $2.34. Solana remains in a downtrend channel; unless it reclaims $150 on high volume, it is a risky hold. Rotate capital from stagnant majors (ADA, XRP) into DeFi beta plays like Ethena (ENA) or Lido (LDO) which are reacting positively to the ETH upgrade.
Segment 1: Major Market Caps & Layer 1s
(Source: Overview, Technicals, Most Traded)
| Symbol | Price / Change (24h) | Tech Rating | Live Market Takeaway |
| BTC (Bitcoin) | $93,252 (+0.23%) | Sell | Despite bullish headlines ($500k targets), the ‘Sell’ rating suggests short-term exhaustion; watch for support at $90k. |
| ETH (Ethereum) | $3,190 (+3.95%) | Neutral | Fusaka Upgrade is a strong fundamental catalyst; ‘Neutral’ rating implies a breakout above $3.2k is needed to confirm trend. |
| XRP (Ripple) | $2.15 (-0.99%) | Sell | Price is consolidating after a massive run; divergence between dropping network activity and price resilience signals caution. |
| BNB (Binance Coin) | $910.20 (+1.41%) | Neutral | Strong consolidation near ATHs; ‘Neutral’ rating suggests it is waiting for broader market direction before the next leg. |
| SOL (Solana) | $143.35 (+1.22%) | Neutral | Lagging slightly behind ETH in percentage gains; needs to reclaim $150 to flip momentum back to bullish. |
| ADA (Cardano) | $0.44 (+2.13%) | Sell | Recent rally facing resistance; the ‘Sell’ rating indicates a potential pullback to test lower support levels. |
| TRX (TRON) | $0.28 (+0.19%) | Sell | Low volatility but technicals are bearish; likely to trade sideways or dip unless volume spikes significantly. |
| DOGE (Dogecoin) | $0.14 (-0.35%) | Sell | Meme momentum has cooled; ‘Sell’ rating warns of further bleed unless Bitcoin makes a decisive move upward. |
| AVAX (Avalanche) | N/A (Not Listed) | N/A | (Note: Not present in images, but often correlated with SOL/ETH moves). |
| BCH (Bitcoin Cash) | $574.91 (-2.11%) | Buy | Contrarian ‘Buy’ signal amidst a red day; likely undervalued relative to Bitcoin’s recent moves. |
| LTC (Litecoin) | $84.07 (-1.67%) | Sell | Struggling to maintain momentum; ‘Sell’ rating suggests it is currently a laggard in the payments sector. |
| XLM (Stellar) | $0.25 (-0.85%) | Sell | High correlation with XRP; likely to mirror XRP’s consolidation phase with a downward bias. |
| XMR (Monero) | $409.36 (+1.54%) | Strong Buy | Privacy coin demand remains high; ‘Strong Buy’ technicals make this a standout against the broader market. |
| SUI (Sui) | $1.67 (-1.37%) | Sell | High volume but negative price action; sellers are currently dominating this newer Layer 1. |
| KCS (KuCoin Token) | $10.82 (+6.35%) | Sell | Exchange token pumping despite ‘Sell’ rating; likely a relief rally that may be sold into. |
| XPL (Plasma) | $0.19 (+6.26%) | Sell | Price rising but technicals disagree; classic ‘divergence’ scenario requiring tight stop-losses. |
| TEL (Telcoin) | $0.006 (+5.64%) | Buy | Fundamental utility in telecom seems to be driving interest; ‘Buy’ rating confirms upward momentum. |
Segment 2: DeFi, TVL Leaders & DAOs
(Source: TVL, Top Gainers)
| Symbol | Price / Change (24h) | Tech Rating | Live Market Takeaway |
| AAVE | $193.63 (+0.60%) | Sell | Market leader in TVL ($55B) showing strength, but technicals suggest it’s overbought short-term. |
| LDO (Lido DAO) | $0.64 (+1.87%) | Sell | Dominant in ETH staking; price action is lagging behind ETH’s move, suggesting potential catch-up trade. |
| UNI (Uniswap) | $6.04 (+0.17%) | Sell | Regulatory clouds still linger; huge volume but price is stagnant, indicating accumulation or distribution. |
| ENA (Ethena) | $0.28 (+5.77%) | Neutral | Strong gainer with high yield appeal; ‘Neutral’ rating suggests the pump is valid but near resistance. |
| PENDLE | $2.67 (+0.30%) | Neutral | Yield trading narrative is strong; price is stable, making it a defensive hold in DeFi. |
| COMP (Compound) | $34.34 (-0.90%) | Neutral | Losing market share to Aave; price action is weak and directionless. |
| CAKE (PancakeSwap) | $2.36 (-1.97%) | Sell | DEX volume on BSC is dropping; ‘Sell’ rating confirms the downtrend is intact. |
| CRV (Curve DAO) | $0.41 (+5.60%) | Sell | Good daily bounce for this stablecoin swapper, but long-term trend remains bearish. |
| MKR (Maker) | N/A | N/A | (Note: Key DeFi player, but not explicitly listed in top lists provided). |
| RPL (Rocket Pool) | $2.56 (+1.13%) | Sell | Following LDO’s lead; struggling to gain independent momentum despite ETH strength. |
| CVX (Convex) | $1.88 (+5.98%) | Sell | High beta play on Curve; moving up on CRV news, but ‘Sell’ rating implies the move is fragile. |
| JST (JUST) | $0.038 (-3.60%) | Buy | Tron ecosystem token taking a hit; ‘Buy’ rating suggests this dip might be a good entry. |
| BABY (Babylon) | $0.019 (+0.10%) | Sell | Micro-cap DeFi with low volume; highly speculative and risky despite TVL figures. |
| W (Wormhole) | $0.043 (+2.09%) | Sell | Interoperability play; price creeping up but technicals remain bearish. |
| COOK (mETH) | $0.004 (-3.83%) | Sell | Significant drop; likely suffering from capital rotation into other ETH beta plays. |
| BERA (Berachain) | $0.94 (-4.74%) | Sell | Newer chain hype fading; price discovery finding lower lows. |
| HYPE (Hyperliquid) | $34.77 (+2.95%) | Sell | Perp DEX gaining traction; price is resilient, but ‘Sell’ rating suggests profit-taking is imminent. |
Segment 3: Top Gainers, Movers & Speculative
(Source: Top Gainers, News)
| Symbol | Price / Change (24h) | Tech Rating | Live Market Takeaway |
| CORE | $0.13 (+20.56%) | Sell | Massive pump led by Bitcoin ecosystem narrative; ‘Sell’ rating implies RSI is severely overheated. |
| BARD (Lombard) | $0.89 (+17.81%) | Strong Buy | Top performer with strong technical backing; breakout seems genuine with volume support. |
| DCR (Decred) | $22.33 (+17.79%) | Neutral | Legacy privacy/hybrid coin waking up; ‘Neutral’ rating suggests waiting for a weekly close to confirm. |
| MERL (Merlin) | $0.37 (+12.45%) | Strong Buy | Bitcoin L2 narrative is hot; ‘Strong Buy’ confirms this trend has legs. |
| FARTCOIN | $0.36 (+11.75%) | Buy | Meme coin with high social dominance; strictly a momentum play, trade with caution. |
| ZEC (Zcash) | $368.92 (+10.20%) | Neutral | Privacy sector rotation; lagging XMR but catching up fast with double-digit gains. |
| TAO (Bittensor) | $308.20 (+7.99%) | Neutral | AI narrative leader; regaining strength. A break above $320 could trigger a new rally. |
| DASH | $51.07 (+6.36%) | Neutral | Old school payment coin rallying in sympathy with ZEC/BCH; purely a rotation trade. |
| KITE | $0.099 (+5.37%) | Buy | Data/Web3 project showing organic growth; ‘Buy’ rating makes it a watchlist candidate. |
| B (BUILDon) | $0.23 (+8.81%) | Buy | Meme/Community token showing strength; likely driven by social media hype cycles. |
| TIMI (MetaArena) | $0.066 (-0.69%) | Sell | Gaming token with high volume but negative price; distribution is happening. |
| LINK (Chainlink) | $14.48 (+0.30%) | Neutral | ETF news ($41M debut) failed to spike price; market is ‘selling the news’ or waiting for more volume. |
| LEO (Unus Sed) | $9.73 (+3.49%) | Strong Buy | Exchange token showing rare ‘Strong Buy’ signal; likely internal catalysts or buybacks. |
Segment 4: Stablecoins & Real World Assets
(Source: Most Traded)
| Symbol | Price | Tech Rating | Live Market Takeaway |
| USDT | $1.00 | Buy | Standard peg; high dominance suggests traders are sitting in cash prepared to buy dips. |
| USDC | $1.00 | Strong Buy | ‘Strong Buy’ on a stablecoin usually indicates high velocity/demand for on-chain usage. |
| FDUSD | $0.99 | Buy | Binance-centric stablecoin; slight de-peg offers arbitrage but generally stable. |
| USDE (Ethena) | $0.99 | Buy | Algorithmic stablecoin holding peg well; high yields attract capital. |
| XAUT (Gold) | $4,201 | Buy | Crypto-gold proxy is stable; acting as a hedge against the volatility in BTC/Altcoins. |
Market Analysis Summary
Current Market State:
The market is currently displaying a classic “Divergence” setup. While major headlines are overwhelmingly bullish—citing the Ethereum Fusaka Upgrade, potential Bitcoin Strategic Reserves (Eric Trump news), and Russia’s interest in crypto trade—the technical ratings tell a different story. The majority of top-cap assets like BTC, XRP, BNB, and ADA are flashing “Sell” ratings, indicating that price action has run too far ahead of momentum indicators (RSI divergence). Conversely, capital is rotating into specific sectors: Privacy Coins (XMR, ZEC) and Bitcoin L2/Scalability plays (MERL, CORE) are seeing double-digit gains and “Strong Buy” signals.
Economic & Fundamental Drivers Today:
Trader’s Takeaway: Caution & Risk
‘s Trade Analysis: How to Use This Data
Strategic Approach for :
often sets the weekly trend. Given the current “weekend” data showing technical exhaustion (Sell ratings) vs. fundamental strength (Upgrades/News), will likely open with a “Fake-out”.
Final Checklist:
Key Economic Announcements & Drivers (Top 5 Impact)
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