25th November Market Report

25^th November Market Report
Technical, Fundamental & Economic Announcements

Markets are opening cautious with a modestly bearish tilt, especially in major US indices like the S&P 500 , Dow Jones Industrial Average , and Nasdaq 100 . Technicals show pivotal support levels are holding but momentum is fading in tech leaders such as NVIDIA and Microsoft . European indices remain range-bound amid lackluster economic headlines, while Asian markets are seeing rotation towards outperformers in China and Hong Kong. Commodities present a split picture: gold and silver are rallying on classic risk-off flows, while crude oil struggles with weak demand and high inventories.

Fundamentally, today’s economic announcements will play a critical role. Traders should watch for US Consumer Confidence, New Home Sales, and PMI data, alongside major earnings (DELL, ADI). Macro commentary on GDP growth (2.1%) and stubborn inflation suggests a late-cycle but not recessionary environment, likely keeping central banks cautious and markets volatility-sensitive. Commodities are signaling defensive positioning; any major earnings disappointment or ugly macro print could reinforce this mode. In crypto, Bitcoin and Ethereum are near oversold, so a macro relief could spark sharp technical bounces, but until then, choppiness dominates.

Here are all the tables organized by segment and exchange, with live market two-line takeaways for each symbol—presented cleanly without referencing image links.

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Global Futures

Symbol	LTP	Change	% Change	Takeaway
US500	6,699.7	-7.2	-0.11	Mild profit booking. US risk-on sentiment weakening.
US30	46,400	-57	-0.12	Dow drifts lower. Watch for defensive rotation.
NAS100	24,853.7	-49.2	-0.20	Tech suffers. Stay cautious long.
FCE1	7,977.5	9.5	0.12	European markets stable. No major directional bias.
FDAX1	23,276	-23	-0.10	German market range-bound. Await cues.
HSI	25,864.1	147.63	0.57	China property news lifts HSI. Big movers likely.
J225	48,587.8	-922	-1.86	Japan sharply down. Caution in Asian risk assets.
XJO	8,537.0	11.9	0.14	Australia sees mild recovery. Utilities uptick helping.

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Major Forex

Symbol	LTP	Change	%	Takeaway
EURUSD	1.15281	0.00078	0.07	EUR firm. ECB speakers expected soon.
GBPUSD	1.31196	0.00153	0.12	GBP gains. Inflation data pending.
USDJPY	156.561	-0.350	-0.22	Yen weaker. BOJ cautious comments.
USDINR	89.1975	0.0745	0.08	Rupee flat. RBI policy and oil cues.

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Cryptocurrencies

Symbol	LTP	Chg	%	Market Cap	Takeaway
Bitcoin	87,684.7	-597.5	-0.68	1.75T USD	Range contracting. Trend undecided.
Ethereum	2,916.3	-35.0	-1.21	352.1B USD	Weak below $3K. Wait for breakout.
Tether USDt	0.99983	0.0001	0.01	184.36B USD	Stablecoin flow consistent.
XRP	2.2327	0.0056	0.24	134.65B USD	Transaction picks pace. Near pivot zone.
BNB	858.36	-6.56	-0.76	118.29B USD	Mild sell-off. Watch DEX activity.
Solana	136.65	-1.78	-1.28	76.48B USD	Tech and NFT weakness. Temporary halt.

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Indian Market Indices

Symbol	LTP	Change	%	Takeaway
NIFTY	26,007.3	47.85	0.18	Index steady. Bulls hold support.
BANKNIFTY	59,000	165.25	0.28	Banks outshine. Uptrend continues.
FINNIFTY	27,684	158.1	0.57	Financials swing up. Volatility elevated.
SENSEX	85,047.38	146.67	0.17	Blue chips lead. Market breadth positive.
MIDCPNIF	13,895.3	140.75	1.02	Outperformance strong. Swing trades trigger.
INDIA VIX	12.56	-0.68	-5.1	Volatility down. Favors positional trades.

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Nifty 50 Stocks (Sample)

Symbol	LTP	Pre Close	% Change	R Fac	Takeaway
RELIANCE	1548.4	1535.9	0.81	1.98	Uptrend builds. Spot swing long.
TCS	3127.6	3141.2	-0.43	1.58	IT under pressure. Pause new shorts.
SBIN	986.55	970.6	1.64	0.75	Largecap banks rally. Strong volume.
ADANIENT	2349.5	2399.2	-2.07	1.54	Speculative; avoid chase trades down.

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Sector Indices

Symbol	LTP	Chg	%	Takeaway
CNXIT	36,825.5	-212.45	-0.57	IT sector drag. Wait for reversal.
CNXFMCG	55,177.45	39.30	0.07	FMCG stable. Defensive flows rising.
CNXPSUB	8,460.05	94.3	1.13	PSU banks fly. Swing entries favored.

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Short-Term Swing Breakout Table

Breakout Up

Symbol	LTP	PreC	%	Sector	Date	Takeaway
ABCAPITAL	338.65	331.85	2.05	Financials	2025-11-25	Financials breakout above base. Momentum confirmed.
FEDERALBNK	251.99	248.17	1.54	Bank	2025-11-25	Bank swings upward. Bullish flows.
BAJAJ-AUTO	9058.5	9007.5	0.57	Auto	2025-11-25	Auto strong. Swing buy trigger.

Breakout Down

Symbol	LTP	PreC	%	Sector	Date	Takeaway
SBILIFE	1972.4	2014.8	-2.1	Financials	2025-11-25	Selling persists. Stay defensive.
CYIENT	1112.7	1118.1	-0.48	I.t	2025-11-25	IT sector weak. Momentum shorts.
TITAGARH	840.65	844.25	-0.43	Industrials	2025-11-25	Sideways. No major bullish cues.

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Non-Ferrous Metals

Symbol	LTP	Change	%	Takeaway
GOLD	125,110	1,256	1.01	Gold strong. Hedge trades active.
SILVER	156,650	2,168	1.40	Silver rallies. Setup for further upside.
NICKEL	1,304.3	7.1	0.55	Nickel uptrend. Industrial demand sustained.
LEAD	181.35	0.15	0.08	Lead stable. No action plan needed.
COPPER!	5,125.31	0.04	0.85	Copper steady. Wait for volume spike.

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Options Data (NIFTY, BANKNIFTY, SENSEX, CNXFINANCE, MID SELECT)

Underlying/Expiry	Strike	Call Volume	Put Volume	IV%	Takeaway
NIFTY 16 Dec	26,000	56,775	66,000	8.1	ATM sees highest OI; bullish call spreads.
BANKNIFTY 30 Nov	59,000	1,311,170	1,499,260	13	BankNifty volatility high; premium decay possible.
SENSEX 18 Dec	85,000	37,060	44,400	8.0	Sensex volume concentrates at 85k, expiry directional.
CNXFINANCE 30 Dec	27,500	11,180	16,835	10.0	Financial index call OI at 27,500; upward bias.
MID SELECT 30 Nov	13,800	148,820	154,840	19.0	Heavy OI midcaps; bullish break likely.

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SENSEX Options

• Observation: Highest open interest on both sides is near the ATM strikes (84,500–85,000), with 44,400 volume on 85,000 puts and 37,060 volume on 84,900 calls. Implied volatility is low (8–14%), and the bid-ask spread remains tight for liquid strikes.
• Strategy: With underlying near 85,000, the large volume at ATM and slightly OTM strikes (plus high call OI just above spot) signals a “neutral to range-bound” bias. Selling both calls and puts near the ATM (short straddle/strangle) can work well if volatility contracts, but tighter stops must be used due to increased downside risk if spot breaches key strikes.

CNXFINANCE Options

• Observation: Maximum activity clusters at 27,500 puts (16,835 volume) and 27,500 calls (11,180 volume), with noticeable OI at 27,400/27,600. IVs are in the 10–15% zone; skew is mild.
• Strategy: The finance index shows balanced interest at the ATM. For a sideways move, short iron condor and strangle setups around 27,400–27,600 can capture theta. If there’s directional conviction (based on bank earnings or global rates), buying calls above 27,600 or puts below 27,400 after confirmation may pay off.

BANKNIFTY Options

• Observation: Max volumes are cantered at the 58,800–59,100 strikes, with puts (1,499,260 at 59,000) dominating. IV near 9–13% is low for BankNIFTY, suggesting low expectation of big moves.
• Strategy: With the index trading near 59,000, high put interest at this strike can be protective (put writing by smart money). Bullish lean—shorting puts (cash-secured/hedged) and/or using bull put spreads can deliver if spot stays above 59,000. For volatility pop, buying straddles/ATM strangles is justified if key levels break on volume.

NIFTY Options

• Observation: Key volumes are concentrated at 26,000 puts (66,000) and 25,900/26,000 calls (9,900/56,775), indicating hedging and speculation. IV is muted (9–13%).
• Strategy: NIFTY is showing a classic “pin” near 26,000. Short straddles or strangles around ATM are favoured if trend remains tight; however, use spreads or stop orders as high put OI hints at protection and possible reversal trades if the market breaks lower or higher after macro events.

NIFTY MID SELECT Options

• Observation: Largest call volumes on 13,800 strike (148,820), biggest put volumes at the same strike (154,840), IV 13–19%. ATM “battle” shows indecision.
• Strategy: When both call and put OI are elevated at the same strike, classic option writing (straddle/sell ATM calls and puts) makes sense—but risk management is critical. A breakout from this pin will justify rolling over to directional spreads as momentum picks up.

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How to Use This Data for Trading Index Options

• For neutral markets with heavy ATM volumes and low IV, short straddles/strangles and iron condors can be profitable—collect premium, exit/adjust on sharp moves.
• When a specific strike gathers outsized put or call interest, consider spread strategies (bull/bear spreads), using liquidation or reversal signals from high volume days or news flow.
• Where both sides cluster at the same strike (volume/OI in calls and puts), adaptive writing (rolling strikes as spot shifts) helps, but tight stop-losses and dynamic hedging are essential in case of macro surprise or news-driven volatility.
• Always monitor option Greeks (Delta, Gamma) and IV for clues: rising IV with heavy OI may forewarn breakout risks, while falling IV suits premium sellers.
• Anticipate sector news (bank/finance earnings, global cues, CPI/PPI releases) as these drive moves in NIFTY, BANKNIFTY, SENSEX and sector indices.

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For best results: Focus on premium selling near ATM in low IV, switch to buying breaks with spreads or long options if a clear direction emerges. Hedge big moves with protective puts or calls, never overleverage, and adjust positions dynamically based on OI and volume shifts during the day.

Institutional Flows (FII/DII)

Period	FII Gross Buy	FII Gross Sell	FII Net	DII Net	Takeaway
Last 30 days	325,379.2	345,494.9	-20,115.6	77,638.5	FII outflow, DII buying offsets risk.
Last 2 weeks	186,413.4	198,678.6	-12,265.2	36,351	Net selling persists. Funds rotating.
24 Nov 2025	54,505	58,676.7	-4,171.8	4,512.9	Day outflow, but DII support visible.

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Actionable Trading Takeaway

Adopt a defensive and tactical approach—big tech shows mixed signals, so avoid chasing Nasdaq upside until reversals are confirmed and respect ‘Sell’ ratings on weak leaders. Gold is the top momentum play above 4,130; treat dips as potential long entries if macro risk rises. Only consider crypto longs on high-conviction reversal signals; otherwise, remain patient amid persistent volatility. Stay alert for fast moves around key economic releases and earnings, use tight stops at support zones (e.g. S&P 500 at 6,690), and be ready to rebalance portfolios as momentum shifts. Risk management, sector rotation awareness, and macro headline tracking remain essential today.

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