29th October Market Report

🌀 Fear & Greed Index

• Current Reading: 76.39 — Extreme Greed
• Weekly Change: +5.83 points (from 70.56 last week)
• Market Sentiment: Risk-on sentiment persists, but selective participation advised — market near overbought territory.

“Being wrong is something anyone involved in capital markets has to get used to, though being used to it and being comfortable with it are two different things.” — Bill Miller

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🌏 Global & Domestic Market Overview (as of 11:00 AM IST)

Region / Market	Index	Level (High–Low)	% Change	Trend
🇮🇳 India	Nifty 50	25,936.20 (26,000 – 25,820)	–0.11 %	Mild Profit Booking
🇮🇳 India	Sensex	84,628.16 (84,700 – 84,200)	–0.18 %	Consolidating
🇮🇳 India	Bank Nifty	58,214.10 (58,500 – 57,900)	+0.17 %	Bullish
🇺🇸 USA	Dow Jones	47,706.37 (47,850 – 47,400)	+0.34 %	Strong
🇺🇸 USA	Nasdaq Composite	23,827.49 (23,900 – 23,600)	+0.80 %	Tech-Led Rally
🇺🇸 USA	S&P 500	6,890.89 (6,910 – 6,820)	+0.23 %	Positive
🇩🇪 Germany	DAX 40	24,278.63 (24,300 – 24,100)	–0.12 %	Flat
🇫🇷 France	CAC 40	8,216.58 (8,250 – 8,180)	–0.27 %	Weak
🇬🇧 UK	FTSE 100	9,696.74 (9,710 – 9,640)	+0.44 %	Bullish
🇯🇵 Japan	Nikkei 225	51,094.37 (51,200 – 50,400)	+1.74 %	Record High
🇭🇰 Hong Kong	Hang Seng	26,346.14 (26,400 – 26,200)	–0.33 %	Closed / Holiday
🇰🇷 South Korea	KOSPI	4,041.74 (4,080 – 3,980)	+0.78 %	Positive
🇦🇺 Australia	ASX 200	8,936.30 (8,970 – 8,880)	–0.85 %	Weak
🇮🇳 India	GIFT Nifty	26,142.00 (26,160 – 26,080)	+0.20 %	Flat to Positive
—	India VIX	11.95 (12.10 – 11.80)	+0.80 %	Slightly Volatile
—	USD/INR	88.22 (88.25 – 88.18)	+0.02 %	Stable

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📅 Economic Calendar — India / USA / Europe (Week of 28–31 Oct 2025)

🇮🇳 India

• Industrial Output (Sep): +4.0 % YoY — manufacturing-led growth.
• RBI Gold Repatriation: 274 tonnes since 2023 amid global risks.
• SEBI Proposal: Mutual fund expense ratio cut by up to 0.25 %.
• Upcoming: Core Sector Output (Sep) & Fiscal Deficit (Apr–Sep) data due 31 Oct.
• Corporate Earnings: NTPC, Coal India, L&T, Hindustan Petroleum, LIC Housing, SAIL to announce results.

🇺🇸 United States

• Dow, S&P, Nasdaq: All posted new records; led by Nvidia (+5 %) and Microsoft (+2 %).
• Apple Valuation: Crossed $4 trillion for the first time on iPhone demand.
• Microsoft & OpenAI: New agreement valuing OpenAI at $500B; partnership extended to 2032.
• UPS Shares: +8 % on strong Q3 guidance.
• Upcoming: FOMC statement on 30 Oct; Fed Chair Powell speech key for rate trajectory.

🇪🇺 Europe & UK

• Eurozone CPI (Sep Final): +2.4 % — steady inflation.
• Germany IFO Business Climate: 90.2 — sentiment improving slightly.
• France Industrial Output: +0.3 % — steady pace.
• UK GDP (Q3 est.): +0.4 % QoQ — resilient despite Brexit trade slowdown.
• BoE & ECB Policy Meets: 30–31 Oct; expected “pause” on rate changes.

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📰 Market Bulletin — Key Highlights

• GIFT Nifty: Up 46 pts, indicating a flat to positive start.
• US Markets: All three major indices close at record highs; Apple crosses $4T valuation.
• Asian Markets: Japan surges 1.7 %; Hong Kong closed; Korea positive.
• SEBI Reform: Suggests MF expense ratio cut to make funds cheaper.
• Rupee: Fell 8 paise to ₹88.27/$ amid foreign fund outflows.
• Oil: Brent below $65; WTI near $60 after a 3-day decline.
• Microsoft–OpenAI: $500B valuation pact redefines AI investment landscape.
• India Manufacturing: Output up 4 %, festive demand boosting production.
• IPO Watch: Orkla India IPO opens today (₹1,667 Cr); listing on Nov 6.

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📈 Technical Overview

Nifty 50 — 25,936.20 (–0.11 %)

• Structure: Holding above all key EMAs; momentum intact.
• Supports: 25,800 / 25,650 | Resistances: 26,000 / 26,150.
• Indicators: RSI 69 (neutral–bullish) | MACD positive.

Bank Nifty — 58,214.10 (+0.17 %)

• Pattern: Bullish candle with buying at dips.
• Supports: 57,700 / 57,200 | Resistances: 58,500 / 59,000.
• OI Data: Max Put OI at 58,000 (support) | Call OI at 59,000 (resistance).

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💰 FII & DII Flows (Cash Market)

Date	FII (₹ Cr)	DII (₹ Cr)
28 Oct 2025	+4,881.5	+47,171.0
27 Oct 2025	+12,001.8	+19,771.9
24 Oct 2025	+9,739.8	+7,640.5
23 Oct 2025	+10,339.8	+1,081.6

Observation: FIIs return as net buyers; combined inflows suggest strong institutional accumulation.

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💎 Commodities & Metals (as of 11:00 AM IST)

Asset	Price	% Change	Comment
Gold (Spot)	$4,240.70 / oz	+0.12 %	Safe-haven demand steady.
Silver (India)	₹163,780 / kg	+0.55 %	Moderate recovery after profit booking.
Brent Crude	$64.80 / bbl	–0.20 %	Supply-focused rangebound trade.
WTI Crude	$60.45 / bbl	–0.10 %	Weak US demand sentiment.
Copper (LME)	$10,310 / t	+0.20 %	Chinese demand remains strong.
Aluminium (LME)	$2,678 / t	+0.10 %	Stable on inventory data.

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💱 Forex & Crypto Overview (as of 11:00 AM IST)

Asset	Price	% Change	Comment
USD/INR	88.22	+0.02 %	Stable.
Bitcoin (BTC)	$118,840	+0.38 %	Holding near record highs.
Ethereum (ETH)	$4,055	+0.40 %	Strong trend continuation.
Dollar Index (DXY)	98.54	+0.05 %	Neutral tone.

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⚠️ Top 5 Risk Triggers

1. Overbought global equity markets — RSI above 70 in many indices.
2. Rising crude volatility ahead of OPEC meeting.
3. FII flows turning volatile around month-end.
4. Global tech valuations — high P/E ratios invite correction risk.
5. Currency pressure with INR nearing 88.25 zone.

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🔮 Outlook for 30 October 2025

• Bias: Bullish with short-term consolidation likely.
• Nifty Range: 25,800 – 26,200 | Bank Nifty: 57,800 – 58,700.
• Sectors to Watch: IT, Energy, Defence, Banking.
• Strategy: Hold longs; book partial profits near 26,100; focus on high-volume stocks.

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📖 Word of the Day — “Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT)”

A framework suggesting optimal asset allocation to maximize return for a given risk.
It emphasizes diversification — combining low-correlation assets reduces total portfolio risk without sacrificing returns.

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📜 Disclaimer — aiTrendview.com

This report is created solely for educational and informational purposes.
It is not investment or trading advice.
aiTrendview.com and its contributors are not SEBI-registered analysts.
All data is AI-aggregated and verified from reliable public sources.
Readers should consult qualified financial experts before acting on any information.

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