28th October Market Report

🌀 Fear & Greed Index

• Current Reading: 75.47 — Extreme Greed
• Weekly Change: +5.86 points (from 69.61 last week)
• Sentiment: Greed-driven rally continues. Traders should stay disciplined with tight stop-losses and avoid over-leverage.

“Wall Street has a beautiful collection of very ancient and often very incorrect traditions.” — Benjamin Graham

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🌏 Global & Domestic Market Overview (as of 04:50 PM IST)

Region / Market	Index	Level (High–Low)	% Change	Trend
🇮🇳 India	Nifty 50	25,966.05 (26,100 – 25,820)	+0.66 %	Bullish
🇮🇳 India	Sensex	84,778.84 (84,950 – 84,200)	+0.67 %	Strong Uptrend
🇮🇳 India	Bank Nifty	58,114.25 (58,500 – 57,800)	+0.72 %	Bullish Momentum
🇺🇸 USA	Dow Jones	47,544.59 (47,600 – 47,200)	+0.71 %	Uptrend
🇺🇸 USA	Nasdaq Composite	23,637.46 (23,700 – 23,300)	+1.86 %	Strong
🇺🇸 USA	S&P 500	6,875.16 (6,900 – 6,800)	+1.23 %	Positive
🇩🇪 Germany	DAX 40	24,308.78 (24,350 – 24,200)	+0.28 %	Stable
🇫🇷 France	CAC 40	8,239.18 (8,250 – 8,200)	+0.16 %	Flat
🇬🇧 UK	FTSE 100	9,653.82 (9,670 – 9,600)	+0.09 %	Sideways
🇯🇵 Japan	Nikkei 225	50,335.58 (50,520 – 50,100)	–0.35 %	Mild Correction
🇭🇰 Hong Kong	Hang Seng	26,363.76 (26,420 – 26,200)	–0.26 %	Consolidation
🇰🇷 South Korea	KOSPI	3,981.34 (4,000 – 3,940)	–1.52 %	Weak
🇦🇺 Australia	ASX 200	9,034.60 (9,050 – 9,010)	–0.23 %	Flat
🇮🇳 India	GIFT Nifty	26,060.50 (26,100 – 26,000)	+0.17 %	Mildly Positive
—	India VIX	11.86 (11.90 – 11.50)	+2.31 %	Volatility Rising
—	USD/INR	88.22 (88.25 – 88.18)	+0.03 %	Rupee Slightly Weak

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📅 Economic Calendar — India / USA / Europe (Week of 27–31 Oct 2025)

🇮🇳 India

• WPI (Sep): +1.78 % — steady, inflation contained.
• CPI (Sep): +1.54 % — lowest in 8 years, rate-cut expectations intact.
• RBI Forex Reserves (25 Oct): $655.1B — new record.
• Corporate Results: Reliance, Adani Green, TVS Motor, and M&M Finance report this week.
• RBL Bank: To raise FDI cap to 74 % for $3B Emirates NBD acquisition.
• Upcoming: Core Sector Output (Sep) on 31 Oct; Fiscal Deficit data due same day.

🇺🇸 United States

• GDP (Q3 Advance): +2.4 % — in line with forecasts.
• PCE Inflation (Sep): +0.3 % MoM; yearly +2.9 %.
• Consumer Confidence (Oct): 102.4 — improving trend.
• Amazon Layoffs: 30,000 jobs cut amid restructuring.
• Upcoming: FOMC statement on 30 Oct; markets expect dovish tone.

🇪🇺 Europe & UK

• Eurozone CPI (Final Sep): +2.4 % — unchanged.
• Germany IFO Business Climate: 90.2 — cautious optimism.
• UK Retail Sales (Sep): +0.6 % MoM — recovery continues.
• ECB & BoE Policy Meetings: 30–31 Oct — likely to maintain current rates.
• China–ASEAN Free Trade Upgrade: Digital & green economy added; boosts regional trade optimism.

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📰 Market Bulletin — Key Highlights

• GIFT Nifty: +53 pts at 26,060 — signaling strong opening momentum.
• US Markets: Nasdaq hits fresh highs on AI and semiconductor stocks.
• Europe: Steady ahead of central bank meetings.
• India: Nifty closes above 25,950; Sensex gains 567 pts.
• FDI: RBL Bank–Emirates NBD deal likely largest in India’s banking history.
• Oil: Brent steady above $65; Russian sanctions continue to affect supply.
• China–ASEAN Pact: Expands trade to digital and climate-linked sectors.
• Tesla Chair: Warns Elon Musk could exit if $1T pay package rejected.

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📈 Technical Overview

Nifty 50 — 25,966.05 (+0.66 %)

• Pattern: Bullish candle; higher highs intact.
• RSI: 71.49 — overbought territory.
• MACD: Positive histogram.
• Support: 25,800 / 25,700 | Resistance: 26,100 / 26,275.

Bank Nifty — 58,114.25 (+0.72 %)

• Pattern: Bullish candle with upper shadow — mild exhaustion.
• Supports: 57,600 / 57,200 | Resistances: 58,500 / 59,000.
• OI Data: Highest Put OI at 58,000 (support) | Call OI at 59,000 (resistance).

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💰 FII & DII Flows (Cash Market)

Date	FII (₹ Cr)	DII (₹ Cr)
27 Oct 2025	–5,458.3	+46,089.4
24 Oct 2025	+153.5	+22,351.4
23 Oct 2025	–503.3	+5,951.9
22 Oct 2025	–55.6	+2,492.1

Observation: Domestic inflows dominate — strong mutual fund participation offsets FII outflows.

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💎 Commodities & Metals (as of 04:50 PM IST)

Asset	Price	% Change	Comment
Gold (Spot)	$4,236.40 / oz	+0.18 %	Buying continues amid global policy uncertainty.
Silver (India)	₹163,380 / kg	+0.45 %	Short covering seen after last week’s decline.
Brent Crude	$65.40 / bbl	Flat	Balanced between demand and supply risk.
WTI Crude	$61.25 / bbl	–0.10 %	Marginally lower; profit booking.
Copper (LME)	$10,285 / t	+0.22 %	Supported by China demand.
Aluminium (LME)	$2,670 / t	+0.05 %	Rangebound.

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💱 Forex & Crypto Overview (as of 04:50 PM IST)

Asset	Price	% Change	Comment
USD/INR	88.22	+0.03 %	Rupee slightly weak.
Bitcoin (BTC)	$118,710	+0.29 %	Holding steady above key $118K zone.
Ethereum (ETH)	$4,040	+0.34 %	Gradual recovery trend.
Dollar Index (DXY)	98.61	+0.08 %	Mildly firm.

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⚠️ Top 5 Risk Triggers

1. Extreme greed sentiment — RSI above 70 across indices.
2. FII outflows despite record Sensex levels.
3. Rising crude oil above $65 may pressure inflation.
4. US tech earnings volatility.
5. Anticipation of ECB and Fed policy remarks.

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🔮 Outlook for 29 October 2025

• Bias: Positive continuation with capped upside.
• Nifty Range: 25,850 – 26,200 | Bank Nifty: 57,800 – 58,700.
• Sector Watch: Banking, Defence, PSU, and Energy outperform; IT sideways.
• Strategy: Use trailing SL; partial profit-booking above 26,100.

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📖 Word of the Day — “Return on Equity (ROE)”

Measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder capital.
Formula: Net Income ÷ Shareholders’ Equity × 100.
A healthy ROE (15–20 %) indicates solid management efficiency.

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📜 Disclaimer — aiTrendview.com

This report is prepared solely for educational and informational purposes.
It does not constitute investment or trading advice.
aiTrendview.com and its contributors are not SEBI-registered analysts.
All information is AI-aggregated and verified from public sources.
Consult certified professionals before making any financial decisions.

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