9th October Market Report

🌀 Fear & Greed Index

• Current Reading: 54.33 — Greed Zone
• Weekly Change: +5.84 points (up from 48.49 last week)
• Interpretation: Market sentiment remains optimistic with risk-on tone, but traders are starting to book profits near record highs.

“One of the signs of future high returns is when recent returns have been the worst.” — Bill Miller

---

🌏 Global & Domestic Market Overview (as of 1:00 PM IST)

Region	Index	Level	% Change
🇮🇳 Nifty 50	25,082.70	▼ –0.15%
🇮🇳 Sensex	81,765.20	▼ –0.19%
🇮🇳 Bank Nifty	56,020.85	▼ –0.18%
🇯🇵 Nikkei 225	48,388.70	▲ +1.37%
🇩🇪 DAX 40	24,597.13	▲ +0.87%
🇫🇷 CAC 40	8,060.13	▲ +1.07%
🇬🇧 FTSE 100	9,548.87	▲ +0.69%
🇭🇰 Hang Seng	26,530.00	▼ –1.12%
🇰🇷 KOSPI	3,549.21	▲ +2.70%
🇺🇸 Dow Jones (prev close)	46,601.78	Flat
🇺🇸 Nasdaq (prev close)	23,043.38	▲ +1.12%
🇺🇸 S&P 500 (prev close)	6,753.72	▲ +0.58%

India VIX: 10.31 (↑ +2.61%) — volatility edging higher.
USD/INR: 88.73 (flat) — rupee stable at record-low range.
GIFT Nifty: 25,155 (+0.25%) — mild positive bias for afternoon trade.

---

📰 Market Bulletin — Key Updates

• US Markets: Ended higher; tech led gains — Nvidia (+2.2%), AMD (+11.4%), S&P 500 +0.58%.
• Fed Minutes: Most members back additional rate cuts this year citing inflation control & jobs data moderation.
• xAI Update: Elon Musk’s xAI raises $20 billion with Nvidia as lead investor to develop a ChatGPT alternative.
• India Macro: Rupee stable near all-time low; RBI expected to stay on hold in upcoming policy.
• Tata Capital IPO: Subscribed 1.95× overall (QIB 3.42×, Retail 1.1×).
• Rolls-Royce: CEO confirms India will be developed as a “core home market” for aerospace manufacturing.
• Tata Group: Infuses ₹4,000 crore into Tata Digital despite FY25 e-commerce losses crossing ₹16,958 crore.
• Oil Prices: Brent falls below $66/bbl; WTI near $62/bbl as Middle East tensions cool and US inventories rise.
• China–India Tech Row: China seeks assurances on rare earth magnet export limits to the US — could impact EV supply chains.

---

📈 Index Technicals (Mid-Session)

🔹 Nifty 50 — 25,082.70 (–0.15%)

• Trend: Rangebound; mild profit booking near resistance.
• RSI: 53.75 — cooling from overbought.
• MACD: Near bullish crossover; momentum stable.
• Support: 25,000 / 24,900
• Resistance: 25,200 / 25,350
• Pattern: Small bearish candle forming — indecision visible near top.

🔹 Bank Nifty — 56,020.85 (–0.18%)

• Trend: Bullish bias intact despite mild retracement.
• RSI: 60.96 — remains positive.
• MACD: Still bullish; histogram steady.
• Support: 55,600 / 54,450
• Resistance: 56,700 / 57,200

---

📊 Sectoral Overview

Sector	Trend	Comment
Metals	▲ Positive	Global demand strong; prices firm.
Banks (PSU)	▲ Stable	FII selling offset by DII buying.
IT & Tech	▼ Weak	Mild profit booking after US gains.
Energy	▲ Supportive	Oil prices cooling benefits refiners.
FMCG	▼ Neutral	Defensive play subdued amid risk-on tone.

---

📌 Stocks in Focus

Company	Key Update
Lupin	Sets up $250M manufacturing unit in Florida; first major US expansion in a decade.
Coal India	Signs MoU with IRCON for railway infra partnership.
Bondada Engineering	Wins ₹51.6 crore rooftop solar supply order.
Dr. Agarwal’s Healthcare	Completes ₹6.25 crore acquisition in Aditya Jyot Eye Hospital.
Senco Gold	Q2 revenue up 6.5% YoY despite high gold prices.
IRB Infra	₹303 crore optical fiber contract win; InvIT Fund QIP worth ₹3,000 crore opened.
Ashoka Buildcon	Acquires CCDs worth ₹882 crore.
Insolation Energy	Commissions 78 MW solar projects across two states.
Aditya Birla Capital	Launches new AI-driven ABCD wealth platform upgrades.
Crompton Greaves	Secures ₹144 crore redevelopment project in Mumbai.

---

💰 FII & DII Flows (Cash Market)

Date	FII (₹ Cr)	DII (₹ Cr)
08 Oct 2025	–31,615.0	+61,124.3
07 Oct 2025	–17,822.1	+29,778.6
06 Oct 2025	–375.2	+6,308.8
Weekly Net	–49,812.3	+97,211.7

Interpretation:
FIIs continue to sell aggressively across large caps; DIIs are providing full domestic support via MF inflows and ETF rebalancing.

---

🚀 Current IPOs

Company	Open	Close	Price Band (₹)	Status
Rubicon Research Ltd	09-Oct	13-Oct	461–485	Opens today
Canara Robeco AMC	09-Oct	13-Oct	253–266	Opens today
Tata Capital Ltd	06-Oct	09-Oct	310–326	Closes today
Mittal Sections Ltd	07-Oct	09-Oct	136–143	Closes today
Anantam Highways Trust	07-Oct	09-Oct	98–100	Closes today
Shlokka Dyes Ltd	30-Sep	09-Oct	90–95	Closes today
LG Electronics India	07-Oct	09-Oct	1080–1140	Listing tomorrow

---

💎 Commodities & Metals (1:00 PM IST)

Segment	Price	Change	Insight
Gold (India)	₹118,130 / 10g	▲ +0.11%	Safe-haven demand steady.
Silver (India)	₹144,640 / kg	▲ +0.08%	Industrial & EV sector support.
Copper (LME)	$10,320 / t	▲ +0.25%	Supply tightness persists.
Aluminium (LME)	$2,705 / t	–	Construction demand stable.
Zinc (LME)	$2,960 / t	–	Mild strength in galvanising demand.
Brent Crude	$65.95 / bbl	▼ –0.2%	Slight easing on US inventory rise.
WTI Crude	$62.12 / bbl	▼ –0.15%	Rangebound.
Natural Gas	$3.31 / MMBtu	–	Stable with seasonal support.

---

💱 Forex & Crypto (1:00 PM IST)

• USD/INR: 88.73 (flat) — Rupee holding weak band.
• Dollar Index (DXY): 98.10 (steady).
• Bitcoin: $125,400 (+0.35%) — consolidating above $125K.
• Ethereum: $4,210 (+0.45%) — maintains upward momentum.

---

⚠️ Top 5 Risk Triggers for Indian Markets

1. FII Outflows: Continued selling pressure — nearly ₹50,000 crore weekly drain.
2. USD/INR Weakness: Persistent rupee depreciation raises import costs.
3. Oil Prices: Brent stable but sensitive near $66/bbl — watch for Middle East headlines.
4. Liquidity & Tax Calendar: RBI may absorb excess liquidity via OMO operations.
5. Global Data & Fed Minutes: US inflation, shutdown talks, and rate expectations in focus.

---

🔮 Outlook for 09 October 2025

• Bias: Neutral to slightly bearish; consolidation near top levels.
• Range: Nifty 25,000–25,250 | Bank Nifty 55,800–56,700.
• Strategy:
  • Avoid aggressive longs near 25,200.
  • Maintain hedges in IT & export-heavy portfolios.
  • Metals, PSU Banks, and Energy sectors remain accumulation candidates on dips.

---

📖 Word of the Day — “Auction Market”

An Auction Market is a financial system where buyers and sellers compete through open bids and offers.
Trades occur when the highest bid meets the lowest ask — ensuring transparent price discovery and fair value.
Exchanges like NSE & BSE operate primarily on this continuous auction principle.

---

📜 Disclaimer — aiTrendview.com

This report is prepared solely for educational and informational purposes.
It does not constitute investment, research, or trading advice.
aiTrendview.com and its contributors are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisers.
All market information is AI-aggregated from verified public data sources.
Readers are advised to consult qualified financial professionals before making investment or trading decisions.

---

✅ aiTrendview.com — AI-Powered Market Learning & Insights