๐ Fear & Greed Index
- Current Reading: 55.58 โ Greed Zone
- Weekly Change: +7.47 points (up from 48.11 last week)
- Interpretation: Sentiment remains positive, with traders continuing to buy on dips, but the index is approaching short-term overheating levels.
โDonโt let money run your life; let money help you live better.โ โ John Rampton
๐ Global & Domestic Market Overview (as of 11:40 AM IST)
| Region | Index | Level | % Change |
| ๐ฎ๐ณ Nifty 50 | 25,108.30 | โฒ +0.12% | |
| ๐ฎ๐ณ Sensex | 81,926.75 | โฒ +0.17% | |
| ๐ฎ๐ณ Bank Nifty | 56,239.35 | โฒ +0.24% | |
| ๐ฏ๐ต Nikkei 225 | 48,060.21 | โฒ +0.23% | |
| ๐ญ๐ฐ Hang Seng | 26,570.12 | โผ โ1.44% | |
| ๐ฐ๐ท KOSPI | 3,549.21 | โฒ +2.70% | |
| ๐ฉ๐ช DAX 40 | 24,385.78 | โฒ +0.03% | |
| ๐ซ๐ท CAC 40 | 7,974.85 | โฒ +0.04% | |
| ๐ฌ๐ง FTSE 100 | 9,483.58 | โฒ +0.05% | |
| ๐บ๐ธ Dow Jones (prev close) | 46,602.98 | โผ โ0.20% | |
| ๐บ๐ธ Nasdaq (prev close) | 22,788.36 | โผ โ0.67% | |
| ๐บ๐ธ S&P 500 (prev close) | 6,714.59 | โผ โ0.38% |
India VIX: 10.05 (โ 1.40%) โ markets steady, volatility cooling.
USD/INR: 88.76 (rupee weak by 0.06%) โ stable near record low.
GIFT Nifty: 25,211 (โ13 points vs previous close).
๐ฐ Market Bulletin โ Key Updates
- RBI Update: Deputy Governor T. Rabi Shankar clarified that RBI has no immediate plans to launch a national digital currency pilot.
- Tech Expansion: Google to invest $10 billion in a 1GW data center cluster across Visakhapatnam โ to begin operations by mid-2028.
- Apple India Exports: Hit record $10 billion in FY25 H1, up 75% YoY; September shipments jumped 155%.
- US Market Action: S&P 500 snapped a seven-day rally; Tesla fell 4.5%, Nvidia โ0.25%, AMD +3.8%.
- Oil & Energy: Brent near $66/bbl and WTI above $62 โ traders tracking US inventory data and OPEC+ supply cues.
- Japan: Real wages fell 1.4% YoY (Aug), marking the 8th straight monthly decline.
- IndiaโUS Trade Talks: Negotiations on bilateral trade pact continue, aiming for Nov 2025 deadline.
- IPO Debut: Chennaiโs Glottis Logistics listed weak โ down 35% from issue price.
๐ Index Technicals
๐น Nifty 50 โ 25,108.30 (+0.12%)
- Trend: Mildly bullish; higher tops and bottoms intact.
- RSI: 56.19 โ positive bias, moderate momentum.
- MACD: Near bullish crossover; confirmation awaited.
- Support: 25,000 / 24,900
- Resistance: 25,200 / 25,300
- Candle Insight: Small bullish candle with long upper wick indicates intraday profit-booking near 25,200.
๐น Bank Nifty โ 56,239.35 (+0.24%)
- Trend: Bullish continuation; 6th straight session of gains.
- RSI: 64.68 โ overbought zone, still strong.
- MACD: Positive, expanding histogram.
- Support: 55,500 / 55,200
- Resistance: 56,700 / 57,000
- Note: Staying close to upper Bollinger Band โ mild profit booking expected.
๐ Stocks in News
| Company | Update |
| Titan | Domestic ops up 18โ20% YoY; international biz up 86%; added 55 stores. |
| Lodha Developers | Q2 pre-sales โน4,570 crore (+7% YoY), collections up 13%. |
| Saatvik Green Energy | Won โน488 crore solar module orders for FY26. |
| S H Kelkar | H1 revenues up 13% YoY to โน1,140 crore. |
| Advait Infratech | Secured โน87 crore order from Power Grid Corporation. |
| IRB Infra | Gross toll collection up 11% YoY to โน556.7 crore. |
| Waaree Energies | Acquired 64% stake in Kotsons Pvt Ltd for โน192 crore. |
| Utkarsh Small Finance Bank | In-principle approval for proposed rights issue. |
| Tata Motors / JLR | Q2 volumes fell ~20% due to 6-week shutdown from cyberattack. |
| Godrej Consumer | Expects modest Q2 growth; personal care segment weak. |
| Dish TV | Tax dispute appeal filed by IT department in Bombay HC. |
| Keystone Realtors | Q2 pre-sales and collections up 9% YoY. |
๐ฐ FII & DII Flows (Cash Market)
| Date | FII (โน Cr) | DII (โน Cr) |
| 07 Oct 2025 | โ31,696.3 | +60,794.3 |
| 06 Oct 2025 | โ20,329.2 | +30,660.3 |
| 03 Oct 2025 | โ2,061.7 | +8,894.9 |
| Weekly Net | โ54,087.2 | +100,349.5 |
Interpretation: DIIs remain consistent net buyers; FIIs extended heavy selling for the fourth consecutive session, causing currency and yield pressure.
๐ Current IPOs
| Company | Open | Close | Price Band (โน) | Status |
| Shlokka Dyes Ltd | 30-Sep | 09-Oct | 90โ95 | Active |
| Anantam Highways Trust | 07-Oct | 09-Oct | 98โ100 | Active |
| Mittal Sections Ltd | 07-Oct | 09-Oct | 136โ143 | Active |
| Tata Capital Ltd | 06-Oct | 09-Oct | 310โ326 | Active |
| LG Electronics India Ltd | 07-Oct | 08-Oct | 1080โ1140 | Closes today |
๐ Commodities & Metals (11:40 AM IST)
| Segment | Price | % Change | Fundamental View |
| Gold (India) | โน118,080 / 10g | โฒ +0.09% | INR weakness supporting price. |
| Silver (India) | โน144,530 / kg | โฒ +0.06% | EV & industrial demand steady. |
| Copper (LME) | $10,310 / t | โฒ +0.15% | Supply constraints persist. |
| Aluminium (LME) | $2,700 / t | โ | Balanced demand outlook. |
| Zinc (LME) | $2,955 / t | โ | Stable galvanising activity. |
| Brent Crude | $65.95 / bbl | โฒ +0.4% | OPEC+ output steady. |
| WTI Crude | $62.35 / bbl | โฒ +0.3% | Rangebound on US inventory data. |
| Natural Gas | $3.30 / MMBtu | โ | Mild seasonal stability. |
๐ฑ Forex & Crypto (11:40 AM IST)
- USD/INR: 88.76 (flat) โ Rupee steady at all-time lows.
- Dollar Index: 98.09 โ firm US dollar.
- Bitcoin: $124,920 (โ0.20%) โ consolidating near highs.
- Ethereum: $4,190 (+0.35%) โ holding bullish momentum.
โ ๏ธ Top 5 Risk Triggers for Indian Markets
- Persistent FII Outflows: โน31,000+ crore outflow in one day pressures INR.
- USD/INR Weakness: Near 88.8 โ triggers imported inflation risk.
- Crude Oil Prices: Brent above $65; sustained move >$70 may stress CAD.
- RBI Liquidity Trends: Tax payments and OMO actions may affect bond yields.
- US Macro Uncertainty: Shutdown, inflation data, and Fed minutes remain event risks.
๐ฎ Outlook for 08 October 2025
- Bias: Neutral-to-positive; indices consolidating near record levels.
- Nifty Range: 25,000 โ 25,300
- Bank Nifty Range: 55,800 โ 56,700
- Sectors to Watch: Metals, PSU Banks, Energy (strength); IT & FMCG (profit booking).
- Trader Note: Maintain trailing stops, use option spreads for limited-risk positioning.
๐ Word of the Day โ โCompliance Riskโ
Compliance Risk is the threat of penalties or operational disruption due to non-compliance with laws or regulations.
In trading and finance, strong compliance frameworks protect institutions from fines, legal action, or reputational loss.
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Market data and insights have been generated using AI tools and verified public sources.
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