8th December India & Global Market Report

8^th December India & Global Market Research Report

Global markets are trading with a distinctly risk-off undertone as mixed cues from US futures, sharp declines across Asian indices, and weakness in European sectors signal fading momentum. The S&P500 and Nasdaq futures show mild resilience, but that strength is narrow and largely tech-driven, while the Dow and major Asian benchmarks such as the Hang Seng and Nikkei remain under pressure. Commodities add to the caution; crude and Brent continue to decline on weak demand signals, natural gas collapses sharply, and precious metals show no clear trend as gold waffles between safe-haven buying and yield pressure. Forex markets reflect a firmer dollar with USDJPY and USDINR strengthening, which typically weighs on emerging markets and export-heavy sectors. Crypto stands out as the only clear risk-on pocket, with BTC, ETH, and altcoins pushing higher, indicating speculative traders are still active despite global uncertainty.

Indian markets mirror the global risk aversion with Nifty, Sensex, BankNifty, Midcap, and every major sectoral index closing red. Volatility surged sharply as INDIAVIX jumped over 7%, confirming that institutions expect broader swings ahead. The damage is widespread: autos, metals, realty, energy, and PSU banks lead the decline, while even defensive pockets like FMCG and IT slipped—though with comparatively milder losses. FII flows remain decisively negative across all major periods, signalling persistent foreign selling pressure, while DIIs continue to provide the only meaningful support to the market. This imbalance keeps the market structurally fragile; any global shock can accelerate downside momentum. Overall, price action, sector rotation, and flow patterns collectively point to a market that demands disciplined risk management, smaller position sizing, and tactical—not aggressive—trading strategies.

Futures, Forex & Crypto (Image 1)

Symbol	Market / Type	Visible Price / Change
US500	Futures (S&P)	6,878.7 (+9.2 / 0.13%)
US30	Futures (Dow)	47,946.0 (+17 / 0.04%)
NAS100	Futures (Nasdaq)	25,778.3 (+78.6 / 0.31%)
FCE1	European futures (CAC)	8,109.0 (-13 / -0.16%)
FDAX1	DAX Futures	24,112 (+50 / 0.21%)
FESX1	EuroStoxx Futures	5,731 (0 / 0.00%)
39910	(Index displayed)	2,498.9200 (+30.0373 / 1.22%)
HSI	Hang Seng	25,765.37 (-319.72 / -1.23%)
J225	Nikkei 225	50,505.2 (-103.0 / -0.20%)
XJO	ASX 200	8,624.4 (-10.2 / -0.12%)
KOSPI	Korea	4,154.85 (+54.80 / 1.34%)
IRUS	(Index)	2,711.20 (-0.10 / 0.00%)
MZNPI	(Index)	29,798.86 (+230.63 / 0.78%)
EURUSD	Forex major	1.16464 (+0.00055 / 0.05%)
GBPUSD	Forex major	1.33168 (-0.00131 / -0.10%)
USDJPY	Forex major	155.636 (+0.299 / 0.19%)
USDINR	Forex (INR)	90.0330 (+0.1370 / 0.15%)
BTCUSD	Crypto	91,522.00 (+1,119.71 / 1.24%)
ETHUSD	Crypto	3,146.2 (+86.2 / 2.82%)
DOGEUSD	Crypto	0.1439 (+0.0052 / 3.75%)
LTCUSD	Crypto	83.60 (+2.17 / 2.66%)
SOLANA	Crypto	138.82 (+6.29 / 4.75%)
XRPUSDT	Crypto	2.0982 (+0.0540 / 2.64%)

• US500: Small intraday lift — short-term momentum positive but breadth likely narrow; respect resistance near prior highs.
• US30: Flat-to-slight up — cyclical stocks mixed; don’t add levered longs without sector confirmation.
• NAS100: Stronger than broad market — tech leadership intact; trade with volatility awareness.
• FCE1!/FDAX1!/FESX1!: Europe mixed — watch ECB rhetoric and euro moves; favor sector-specific trades over index exposure.
• 39910: Big positive move — treat as local market strength; check constituency (sector drivers) before trading.
• HSI: Heavy drop — China/HK risk-on reversed; avoid long exposure to Chinese growth names today.
• J225: Mild weakness — profit taking; buy dips only with domestic economic confirmation.
• XJO: Flat — commodity-driven; watch materials/energy for direction.
• KOSPI: Strong up — semiconductor bounce likely, but lock in quick profits if headline risk.
• IRUS / MZNPI: Small moves — treat as regional/commodities-sensitive indices; trade selectively.
• EURUSD: Minor strength — euro holding; influence on European equities and commodities.
• GBPUSD: Slight weakness — UK-specific flows; caution on GBP-sensitive stocks.
• USDJPY: Yen weak — export names gain; raise stop discipline on long JPY plays.
• USDINR: Mild INR weakness — imported inflation risk; banks/energy may react.
• BTCUSD / ETHUSD: Strong crypto risk-on — great intraday momentum but use small size; protect gains with trailing stops.
• DOGE/LTC/SOL/XRP: Altcoin strength — these lead intraday rallies; trade only if liquidity and tight risk management present.

---

Comex & Commodities

Symbol	Instrument	Visible Price / Change
GOLD1!	Gold (futures / cash)	130,168 (-294 / -0.23%)
SILVER1!	Silver (futures)	182,271 (-1,137 / -0.62%)
CRUDEOIL	WTI Crude	5,369 (-58 / -1.07%)
NATURALG	Natural Gas	453.8 (-34.2 / -7.01%)
XAUUSD	XAU / spot gold	4,202.110 (+3.425 / 0.08%)
SILVER	Spot Silver	58.1970 (-0.0940 / -0.16%)
BRENT	Brent Crude	62.985 (-0.530 / -0.83%)
XTIUSD	Crude (alternative)	59.51 (-0.66 / -1.10%)
NATGAS	Natural Gas (spot)	4.913 (-0.288 / -5.54%)

• Gold (GOLD1!, XAUUSD): Mixed prints — XAU small uptick but futures showing pressure; consider gold as hedge if rates fall, otherwise cap exposure.
• Silver (SILVER1!, SILVER): Underperforming — industrial demand uncertain; avoid directional longs without macro improvement.
• Crude (CRUDEOIL / BRENT / XTIUSD): Down ~1% — supply/demand narrative weak; energy names may underperform; short-term bounce opportunities only on inventory misses.
• Natural Gas (NATURALG / NATGAS): Big drop — weather/demand shifted; avoid long exposure until storage data supports price.

---

India Markets – Indices & Major

Symbol	Index / Segment	Visible Price / Change
INDIAVIX	India VIX	11.1250 (+0.8100 / 7.85%)
NIFTY1!	Nifty (future / view)	26,053.0 (-282 / -1.07%)
SENSEX	Sensex	85,102.69 (-609.68 / -0.71%)
NIFTY	Nifty 50	25,960.55 (-225.90 / -0.86%)
BANKNIF / BANKNIFTY	Bank Nifty	59,238.55 (-538.65 / -0.90%)
FINNIFTY	FinNifty	27,770.00 (-245.60 / -0.88%)
MIDCPN / MIDCPNIF	Midcap Index	13,778.90 (-274.95 / -1.96%)

Two-line takeaways (each):

• INDIAVIX: VIX surge +7.85% — expect higher volatility; reduce leverage and widen stops.
• NIFTY1/NIFTY/SENSEX: Clear downside — index weakness across large-caps; prefer cash hedges or protective put strategies.
• BANKNIFTY / FINNIFTY: Financials lagging — avoid aggressive bank longs; watch spreads and credit cues.
• MIDCAP: Heavy underperformance — rotation from midcaps into safety; avoid chasing lows without value confirmation.

---

India – Sector Indices

Symbol	Index	Visible Price / Change
CNXFMCG	CNX FMCG	54,540.50 (-662.35 / -1.20%)
CNXPSUB	CNX PSU Banks / Subset	8,146.10 (-235.65 / -2.81%)
NIFTY_M	Nifty Mid	13,764.70 (-233.80 / -1.67%)
CNXFINA	CNX Finance	27,687.15 (-194.75 / -0.70%)
CNXIT	CNX IT	38,590.70 (-112.95 / -0.29%)
CNXAUTO	CNX Auto	27,596.80 (-342.30 / -1.23%)
CNXENER	CNX Energy	34,447.85 (-523.95 / -1.50%)
CNXINFR	CNX Infra	9,427.15 (-113.50 / -1.19%)
CNXMETA	CNX Metal	10,141.80 (-198.55 / -1.92%)
CNXPHAR	CNX Pharma	22,640.70 (-306.45 / -1.34%)
CNXREAL	CNX Realty	861.65 (-31.50 / -3.53%)
CNXMEDI	CNX Media	1,395.35 (-39.20 / -2.73%)

• FMCG/IT: Defensive IT & FMCG are down but holding better than cyclicals — prefer selective long in FMCG on dips.
• PSU / Realty / Media / Metals / Energy: Broad sector weakness — cyclical risk-off; short setups in autos, metals, realty require confirmation and strict stops.
• CNXIT: Small decline — global tech cues likely the driver; monitor USDINR and US tech indices.

---

Banks & Blue Chips

Symbol	Name / Segment	Visible Price / Change
HDFCBAN	HDFC Bank	1,003.10 (-0.20 / -0.02%)
KOTAKBA	Kotak Bank	2,131.60 (-23.30 / -1.08%)
ICICIBAN	ICICI Bank	1,389.60 (-2.90 / -0.21%)
SBIN	State Bank of India	956.40 (-15.10 / -1.55%)
AXISBAN	Axis Bank	1,273.80 (-8.70 / -0.68%)
RELIANCE	Reliance Industries	1,543.00 (+2.40 / +0.16%)
INFY	Infosys	1,610.80 (-5.40 / -0.33%)
TCS	TCS	3,236.50 (-1.70 / -0.05%)
ADANIEN	Adani (Energy variant)	2,216.00 (-49.20 / -2.17%)
ULTRACE	Ultratech / Ultracem (shown)	11,540.00 (-57.00 / -0.49%)

• HDFC / ICICI / KOTAK / AXIS / SBIN: Bank names underperform — watch deposit/loan growth news and RBI commentary; reduce exposure or hedge.
• Reliance: Positive outlier — energy/retail strength; use as relative long but trim into strength.
• INFY / TCS: IT slightly down — cautioned by global tech; use tight entries referencing USDINR and US tech momentum.
• ADANIEN / ULTRACE: Volatility present — avoid sizey positions until clearer macro or company catalysts.

---

FII / DII Flows

Period / Date	FII Gross Purchase	FII Gross Sales	FII Net (P/S)	DII Net (P/S)	DII Gross Sales	DII Gross Purchase
Last 30 Days	343,063.2	368,016.4	-24,953.1	92,150.2	272,586	364,736.3
Last 2 Weeks	166,074.9	180,137.8	-14,063	42,548.1	117,525.5	160,073.8
Last 1 Week	58,305	68,708.6	-10,403.6	19,785.4	58,169.2	77,954.9
05 Dec 2025	11,456.4	11,895.3	-438.9	4,189.2	11,868.7	16,057.9
04 Dec 2025	11,500.1	13,444.3	-1,944.2	3,661	12,828.4	16,489.5
03 Dec 2025	11,135	14,341.9	-3,206.9	4,730.4	12,457.6	17,188.1
02 Dec 2025	15,234.1	18,876.4	-3,642.3	4,645.9	10,548.8	15,194.8
01 Dec 2025	8,979.4	10,150.7	-1,171.3	2,558.9	10,465.7	13,024.6
26 Nov 2025	16,232.1	11,454.1	4,778	6,247.9	10,086.2	16,334.1
25 Nov 2025	16,596.2	15,810.9	785.3	3,912.5	11,240.6	15,153
24 Nov 2025	54,505	58,676.7	-4,171.8	4,512.9	15,932.6	20,445.5

• FIIs: Net sellers over last 30 days (~-24,953) — foreign selling pressure persistent, increases risk for large-cap outflows; monitor global rates and US data for reversal cues.
• DIIs: Net buyers (~+92,150 over 30 days) — domestic institutions are cushioning the market; rely on DII support for selective long setups but don’t assume permanent bid.

---

Summaries
Futures / Forex / Crypto snapshot: Global futures show mixed breadth — US indices (S&P & Nasdaq) holding modest gains while Asia (HSI, J225) swings; forex shows a slightly stronger dollar vs INR and JPY weakness — that helps Indian exporters and tech names. Crypto is risk-on with BTC and ETH leading the charge, signaling speculative appetite; trade size small due to headline sensitivity. Key catalysts: US macro prints and any Fed/ECB comments — those will swing both equities and FX sharply.

1. Commodities / Energy / Precious metals: Commodities are under pressure — crude and Brent are down ~1% signaling supply/weak demand narrative, while natural gas plunged sharply (weather/demand-driven). Gold shows mixed signals (spot up small but futures pressured), indicating money flow uncertainty vs yields. This commodity action supports defensive sector rotation (utilities, staples) and cautions on cyclicals (energy, materials) unless inventory data surprises bullishly.
2. India broad indices: Indian markets are down with rising VIX — Nifty/Sensex showing clear weakness led by banks and midcaps. This suggests risk-off posture domestically despite DII buying — domestic institutions are supporting but not fully offsetting FII selling. Technicals point to short-term downtrend; fundamentals to watch: RBI commentary, USDINR, and any local policy or corporate earnings hitting the tape.
3. India sector indices: Sector mix is weak across auto, energy, metals, realty and media — defensive sectors like FMCG and IT show less bruising but are still softer. This broad sector weakness indicates capital rotation away from cyclicals; traders should expect higher intraday correlations and fewer clean single-name breakouts until macro clarity returns.
4. FII / DII flows: Foreign institutional investors have been net sellers over multiple horizons while DIIs have been the buyers buffering the market. That tug-of-war means price moves can be fragile — a single negative global headline may accelerate FII outflows and blow up domestic longs. Watch daily FII flow numbers alongside US session prints; flows drive liquidity and are the most immediate risk factor for Indian market direction.

---

What should be your takeaway & trading cautions (short, actionable)

1. Reduce leverage & size: Elevated India VIX and sustained FII selling demand lower position sizes and wider stops.
2. Prefer defensive / high-liquidity names: Trade FMCG, large-cap IT and Reliance selectively; avoid low-liquidity midcaps & volatile pump-n-dump crypto plays unless intraday.
3. Use hedges for overnight exposure: If holding long overnight, buy index puts or short futures to cap downside — FIIs can flip flows fast.
4. Follow macro calendar: US inflation prints, Fed comments, and RBI moves can cause immediate regime changes; avoid initiating major directional trades immediately before these.
5. Flow-sensitive sizing: If DIIs are buying but FIIs selling, favor trades that can be exited quickly — avoid build-up of directional risk.

---

How to use this data and blog for trade analysis — point-by-point by segment

• Futures (US/Europe/Asia): Mark prior-day high/low and VWAP; trade breakouts only with volume confirmation and with a pre-defined stop based on ATR. Avoid buying after large gap-ups without re-test.
• Forex (EURUSD/GBPUSD/USDJPY/USDINR): Use currency action to size sector bets — weak INR argues caution on import-heavy names; weak JPY supports long exporters. Hedge USDINR exposure when holding large India exposure.
• Crypto: Treat BTC/ETH as market risk proxy; if they rally with volume, reduce hedges on small-cap alts for intraday scalps only. Use trailing stops and cap leverage.
• Commodities (Oil/Gold/NatGas): Use inventory reports (API / EIA), OPEC headlines, and weather data to trade energy and gas. If crude falls, reduce exposure to energy stocks; if gold rises on safe-haven flows, reduce equity risk.
• India Indices & Sectors: Use FII/DII flows to gauge conviction. If FII selling intensifies and VIX rises, close or hedge long positions. Sector trades should be small and sector ETFs preferred over single low-liquidity stocks.
• Banks & Blue Chips: Watch earnings, policy rates, and credit spreads; when BankNifty lags, rotate to IT/FMCG for stability. Use pair trades (large-cap long vs bank short) if divergence persists.
• FII/DII Flow Tracking: Put a daily row in your dashboard updated before market open. If FIIs are net sellers > threshold (e.g., >5k cr), switch to defensive posture; if DIIs ramp buying > threshold, consider selective contrarian longs but keep hedges.
  
  

In this environment, traders must shift from chasing trends to protecting capital through disciplined setups, strict stop-loss rules, and selective exposure to only the strongest relative performers. With FIIs selling aggressively, volatility rising, and sector breadth weakening, the market is signalling that liquidity—not sentiment—will dictate direction in the days ahead. Until flows reverse and global cues stabilize, the smarter approach is to trade light, stay hedged, and prioritize high-volume, high-conviction levels over speculative momentum. Patience, precision, and risk management will decide who survives this phase and who gets shaken out.

---

aiTrendview Global Disclaimer

This aiTrendview report is an AI-generated document provided exclusively for educational and training purposes and shall not be construed as investment, financial, legal, or tax advice in any jurisdiction. aiTrendview and its affiliates are not SEBI-registered research analysts, investment advisers, or portfolio managers, and all information herein is automatically compiled from publicly available sources that may contain errors, delays, or omissions. Users must independently verify all data before making any financial, commercial, or legal decisions, as no market values, performance figures, or trends contained in this report constitute guarantees or forward-looking statements. Nothing in this publication should be interpreted as a solicitation, recommendation, or endorsement to buy, sell, or hold any security. aiTrendview, its creators, and all associated AI systems disclaim all liability for losses or consequences arising from the use or reliance upon this content, and users accept full personal responsibility for all actions taken based on it. Unauthorized reproduction, distribution, or modification of this AI-generated material is strictly prohibited under international copyright, compliance, and intellectual-property laws.