6th October Market Report

🌀 Fear & Greed Index

• Today’s Reading: 58.18 — Greed Zone
• Weekly Change: Slight uptick from 56 last week, showing improving investor confidence.
• Interpretation: Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, supported by strong institutional activity and upbeat global cues.

“Being bearish always sounds smarter than being bullish — but being rational pays more.”

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🌏 Global & Domestic Market Overview (as of 1:15 PM IST)

Region	Index	Current Level	Change
🇮🇳 Nifty 50	24,955.00	▲ +0.25%
🇮🇳 Sensex	81,240.00	▲ +0.31%
🇮🇳 Bank Nifty	55,615.00	▲ +0.44%
🇺🇸 Dow Jones	46,758.00	▲ +0.51%
🇺🇸 Nasdaq	22,780.00	▼ –0.28%
🇯🇵 Nikkei 225	47,631.00	▲ +4.07%
🇬🇧 FTSE 100	9,491.00	▲ +0.67%
🇩🇪 DAX 40	24,379.00	▼ –0.18%
🇭🇰 Hang Seng	27,052.00	▼ –0.33%
🇰🇷 KOSPI	3,549.00	▲ +2.70%

India VIX: 9.95 (↓ 1%) — low volatility.
USD/INR: 88.78 (rupee slightly weaker).

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📰 Market Bulletin — Highlights So Far

• Domestic Momentum: Nifty and Sensex continue to hold near record highs as bank and metal stocks extend gains.
• Global Cues: Japan’s Nikkei 225 hits an all-time high (47,600 +) after Sanae Takaichi’s leadership victory boosted investor sentiment.
• Oil: Brent hovers above $65 bbl after OPEC + approved a modest output hike of 137,000 bpd, easing oversupply concerns.
• Rupee: Weakens to 88.79 per USD amid steady import demand and ongoing FII outflows.
• Crypto: Bitcoin surges 2.5% to $125,245, marking a fresh record high; Ethereum edges up to $4,190.
• IPO Buzz: WeWork India IPO (₹615 – ₹648 band) opened Oct 3; subscription 0.07× so far.
• Macro: US shutdown enters day 5; White House warns of layoffs as negotiations stall.

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📈 Technical Outlook — Key Indices

🔹 Nifty 50 — 24,955 (+0.25%)

• Forming a bullish candle with higher highs & lows; RSI improving.
• Immediate Support: 24,600 Resistance: 25,000 – 25,100.
• 20 & 50-day EMAs still capping upside; breakout confirmation above 25,000 needed.

🔹 Bank Nifty — 55,615 (+0.44%)

• RSI strengthening with positive MACD crossover.
• Support: 55,000 Resistance: 56,000 / 56,800.
• Long build-ups visible across PSU banks (IDFC First Bank, PNB, Federal Bank).

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💼 Stocks in News (Mid-Day Movers)

• HDFC Bank: Advances ↑ 4.4% QoQ, deposits ↑ 15% YoY.
• Bajaj Finance: Customer base ↑ to 110.6 million; new loans ↑ 26% YoY.
• Vedanta: Record alumina & aluminium output; Q2 production ↑ 31% YoY.
• TVS Motor: Acquires Engines Engineering S.p.A (Italy) 100%.
• L&T Finance: Retail disbursements ↑ 25% YoY to ₹18,850 crore.
• Infosys: Partners Telenor Shared Services for cloud modernisation.
• Tata Steel: Received Rs 2,411 crore tax demand notice; plans legal action.
• RBL Bank: CASA ratio dips as funding costs rise.

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📊 Derivatives & Flows

• Nifty PCR: 1.17 (vs 1.18 previous session) → mild neutral bias.
• FII Flows: Foreign investors withdrew ₹23,885 crore in September; FY outflow now ₹1.58 lakh crore.
• DII Flows: Positive; mutual funds remain net buyers.

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💎 Commodities & Metals (1:15 PM IST)

Segment	Price	Change	Key Insight
Gold (India)	₹117,950 / 10g	▲ 0.12%	Supported by weaker rupee & safe-haven buying
Silver (India)	₹144,400 / kg	▲ 0.18%	Industrial & EV demand strong
Copper (LME)	$10,285 / t	▲ 0.4%	Supply tightness supports prices
Aluminium (LME)	$2,690 / t	–	Steady on construction demand
Zinc (LME)	$2,945 / t	–	Stable industrial off-take
Brent Crude	$65.25 / bbl	▲ 0.5%	OPEC output decision priced in
WTI Crude	$62.05 / bbl	▲ 0.4%	Tight inventory support
Natural Gas	$3.28 / MMBtu	–	Seasonal demand steady

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💱 Forex & Crypto (1:15 PM IST)

• USD/INR: 88.78 (rupee weak by 0.02%)
• Dollar Index: 98.07 (firm)
• Bitcoin: $125,245 (+2.7%) — fresh record high
• Ethereum: $4,190 (+1.5%) — strong momentum

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⚠️ Top 5 Risk Triggers for Indian Markets

1. FII Outflows — continued foreign selling in Oct extends macro pressure.
2. USD/INR Weakness — rupee depreciation feeds imported inflation.
3. Crude Oil Volatility — sustained rise above $70 could strain CAD.
4. RBI Liquidity Monitoring — tightness around tax dates may impact bond yields.
5. Global Policy Noise — Fed minutes and US shutdown talks in focus.

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📊 Risk Trend Snapshot

Factor	Current Value (1:15 PM)	5-Day Trend
FII Flows	Net Outflows ₹23,885 cr (Sept)	🔻 Selling Continues
USD/INR	88.78	🔻 Weak
Brent Crude	$65.25 / bbl	⚠️ Rangebound
RBI Liquidity	Mild Tightness	⚠️ Watch
Global Policy	Fed Minutes & US Shutdown	⚠️ Volatile

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📖 Word of the Day — “Trading Compliance”

Refers to adhering to rules and guidelines set by exchanges and regulators to prevent market manipulation, insider trading, and fraud.
Strong compliance systems preserve market integrity and investor trust.

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🔮 Mid-Session Outlook

• Bias: Neutral to positive within 24,600–25,050 range.
• Focus Sectors: Metals, PSU Banks, Energy positive; IT/Exports cautious.
• Tactical Call: Use strength to book profits near 25,000; consider gold as a hedge against macro risks.
• F&O View: Stable volatility (India VIX < 10) offers low-premium option entries for defined risk spreads.

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📜 Disclaimer — aiTrendview.com

This report is created solely for training and educational purposes.
It does not constitute trading advice, investment recommendations, or research analysis.
aiTrendview.com and its contributors are not SEBI-registered analysts or investment advisers.
Market data and interpretations are generated using AI tools and public information sources.
Readers should consult qualified financial professionals before making any investment decisions.

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