4th September Market Report

Daily Market Blog – Thursday, 04 September 2025

🔔 Fear & Greed Index

• Index at 37.55 (Fear) – cautious sentiment.
• Guidance: Wait for clear market direction; avoid aggressive new positions.

💡 Quote of the Day:
“ABCs of business decay, which are arrogance, bureaucracy and complacency.” – Warren Buffett

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🌏 Global Market Overview

• US: Dow -0.05% (45,271), Nasdaq +1.02% (21,497), S&P 500 +0.51% (6,448).
• Europe: FTSE +0.67%, DAX +0.46%, CAC +0.86%.
• Asia: Nikkei +1.07%, Hang Seng -0.13%, Kospi +0.30%, ASX 200 +0.68%.
• India: Sensex +0.51% (80,568), Nifty 50 +0.55% (24,715).
• Currency: USD/INR at 88.10 (+0.03%).
• India VIX: Down 4.12% to 10.93 – volatility at a 6-week low.

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📌 Market Bulletin

• India GST Update: New regime from Sept 22 – three slabs (5%, 18%, 40%), rate cuts on 396 items; positive for consumption.
• US: Job openings fell to 7.18M (10-month low); unemployed outnumber openings for first time since 2021.
• Tech Surge: Alphabet hit record high; Apple +4% on favorable antitrust verdict.
• Bonds: India 10Y yield at 6.54% (-3 bps). Japan bond sale demand weak; US 30Y near 5%.
• Rupee: Recovered to 88.06 on equity support & soft crude.
• Crude Oil: Brent ~$67, WTI <$64 – second day of decline.

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📈 Nifty 50 Technicals

• Closed 24,715 (+135 / +0.55%).
• Formed bullish candle; 3rd day of higher lows.
• Above 100-day EMA & Bollinger midline, but below 20/50-day EMAs.
• Indicators: RSI 48.5 (near bullish crossover), Stoch RSI positive, MACD weak.
• Resistance: 24,750 / 24,800 / 25,000.
• Support: 24,500 / 24,400–24,300 zone.

Top Performers: Infosys +5.97%, Hindalco +3.05%, JSW Steel +2.7%.
Top Losers: HDFC Life -1.31%, NTPC -0.61%, Hindalco -0.8%.

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🏦 Bank Nifty

• Closed 54,068 (+407 / +0.76%).
• Strong green candle; base-building near 200-day EMA (53,582).
• Still below 20/50/100-day EMAs.
• RSI 37.16 (weak), MACD negative.
• Options: Resistance 55,000 (highest Call OI), support 54,000 (highest Put OI).

Best: Federal Bank +2.25%, Canara Bank +2.04%, IDFC First +1.58%.
Weak: Axis Bank -0.17%, IndusInd Bank -0.14%.

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🚀 Stocks in News

• RailTel: ₹14.9 Cr CCTV order from MHA till 2030.
• BHEL: ₹2,600 Cr LoI for 800MW project equipment.
• Poly Medicure: To acquire 90% of PendraCare (Netherlands) for ₹188.5 Cr.
• UCO Bank: RBI nod for IFSC Banking Unit at GIFT City.
• Religare Enterprises: To raise ₹1,500 Cr via warrants.
• Muthoot Microfin: $15M bonds + ₹150 Cr NCDs.
• Bajaj Hindusthan: Promoter trust sold shares worth ₹67.8 Cr.
• Can Fin Homes: Fundraise plan up to ₹40,000 Cr.
• GHV Infra: ₹120 Cr LoI for Jharkhand station redevelopment.
• Campus Activewear: Acquired Uttarakhand facility for ₹74.7 Cr.
• Ester Industries JV: Land acquired for Infinite Loop facility.
• Swiggy: Raised platform fee to ₹15/order.
• Aptus Housing Finance: Westbridge to sell 16.5% stake via block deal.
• Prestige Estates: GST notice for tax shortfall.
• Force Motors: Domestic sales +6.6%, exports -26%.

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💰 FII & DII Activity (Cash, 3 Sept)

• FII: -₹1,666.5 Cr (net sellers).
• DII: +₹2,495.3 Cr (net buyers).

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📑 IPO Watch

• Ongoing Issues (4 Sept):
  • Vigor Plast India Ltd (₹77–81)
  • Sharvaya Metals Ltd (₹192–196)
  • Goel Construction Co. Ltd (₹250–263)
• Upcoming: Austere Systems (8 Sept), Optivalue Tek (9 Sept).

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✅ Market Wrap

The market showed strength led by IT and metals, supported by GST rate cuts and global tech momentum. Volatility is at a low, but technical indicators suggest cautious optimism. Watch Nifty resistance at 24,800 and Bank Nifty consolidation near 54,000.

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Disclaimer

Training & Educational Only — This material and the indicator are provided for educational purposes only. Nothing here is investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell financial instruments. Past simulated or historical performance does not predict future results. Always perform full back testing and risk management, and consider seeking advice from a qualified financial professional before trading with real capital.

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