4th November Market Report

aiTrendview.com Daily Market Report

Market Sentiment Highlights (04-Nov-2025)

• The Fear & Greed Index settled at 65.66, indicating moderate market optimism but with pockets of caution.
• Volatility picked up with India VIX rising over 4% to 12.67, marking the highest level since June 30, signalling nervousness and potential for larger price swings.
• FII flows remained negative (–₹1,042 Cr), showing sustained selling for a third day, but DII flows were strongly positive (+₹5,290 Cr), suggesting solid domestic support and resilience in Indian equities.
• Nifty 50 closed modestly higher at 25,763.35, maintaining above key moving averages; however, the RSI at 59 signalled a bearish crossover, and momentum readings imply sideways to weak sentiment over the next few sessions.
• Bank Nifty rallied 0.56% to 58,101.45, with strong alignment above all key EMAs and heavier volumes indicating renewed institutional interest.
• Global cues mixed: US stocks ended Monday with tech gains supporting S&P and Nasdaq, but the Dow slipped; Asia and Europe traded mainly flat to slightly higher.

Sector Performance Highlights

• Long Buildup: PSU Banks (Indian Bank, Bank of Baroda), select NBFCs (IIFL Finance, SBFC Finance), and Steel/Pipes (Wockhardt, Polycab) led the advance, benefiting from positive corporate news and institutional buying.
• Short Buildup: Telecom (Vodafone Idea), Power (Reliance Power), and lenders (IIFL Finance) faced pressure amid weak fundamentals and profit booking.
• Volume Shockers: Nifty 500 stocks registering more than 1.5x weekly average volumes, with several outperformers touching 52-week or yearly highs, especially in industrial, power, and banking sectors.
• Top Gainers: Maruti Suzuki, Tata Consumer, Apollo Hospital signaled rotation into auto, FMCG, and healthcare.
• Top Losers: ITC, TCS, and some finance names lagged due to margin pressures and earnings misses.
• Bank Nifty: Formed a bullish candle within prior day’s range and stayed above all major EMAs, suggesting a continuation of the uptrend in financials.

Key Takeaway:
Sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with domestic institutions providing solid support in Indian equities. Long positioning favors PSU banks and select industrials, while defensive sectors and weak earnings names are seeing profit booking and short buildup. Volatility is up, suggesting traders should be nimble and risk-aware going into midweek sessions.

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Global Indices Snapshot

Region	Index	Level	High–Low	% Change	Trend
USA	Dow Jones	47,336.68	47,572–47,336	–0.48	Weak
USA	Nasdaq	23,834.72	23,940–23,725	+0.46	Mild Uptrend
USA	S&P 500	6,851.97	6,870–6,840	+0.17	Stable
Germany	DAX	24,132.41	24,199–24,010	+0.73	Recovery
UK	FTSE 100	9,701.37	9,715–9,690	–0.16	Sideways
France	CAC 40	8,109.79	8,121–8,098	–0.14	Flat
India	Sensex	83,978.49	84,100–83,920	+0.05	Stable
India	Nifty 50	25,763.35	25,820–25,750	+0.16	Mild Uptrend
India	Bank Nifty	58,101.45	58,300–58,070	+0.56	Bullish
Japan	Nikkei 225	52,475.81	52,510–52,410	+0.12	Mild Uptrend
Hong Kong	Hang Seng	26,204.27	26,240–26,180	+0.18	Steady
South Korea	KOSPI	4,168.63	4,200–4,160	–1.26	Weak
Australia	ASX 200	8,835.00	8,860–8,820	–0.67	Downtrend

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Precious Metals – Live Prices & Fundamental Note

Metal	Price	Fundamental Note
Gold	$3,996.32/oz	Range-bound; central banks still buying, support holds
Silver	₹151/g	Mild dip, industrial demand steady, festive support
Platinum	$1,571/oz	Stable demand, supply forecast flat
Palladium	$1,274/oz	Steady, auto sector demand recovers

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Other/Industrial Metals – Live Prices & Note

Metal	Price	Fundamental Note
Copper	$5.11/lb	EV & infra demand strong, price firm
Nickel	$15,140/t	Mixed supply; battery story intact
Tin	$34,100/t	Electronics rebound, volatility persists
Aluminum	$2,870/t	Supply tightness, price steady
Lead	$2,023/t	Battery focus, price stable
Steel	$3,083 CNY/t	Price under pressure on weak China infra demand

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Energy – Live Prices & Fundamental Note

Commodity	Price	Fundamental Note
Brent Crude	$88.40/bbl	OPEC+ discipline, price rebounds after recent volatility
WTI Crude	$84.17/bbl	Stabilizing; moderate US drawdowns
Nat. Gas	$4.23/MMBtu	Rising on colder winter forecasts

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Forex – Majors & Fundamental Note

Pair	Price	Fundamental Note
USD/INR	88.765	Rupee near record low; FII flows remain cautious
EUR/USD	1.1506	Euro pressured, ECB remains supportive
GBP/USD	1.3120	Flat; BOE holds outlook
USD/JPY	154.38	Yen weakness, BOJ stance dovish
AUD/USD	0.6705	Stable, RBA holds interest rates

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Crypto – Top Coins & Fundamental Note

Coin	Price	Fundamental Note
Bitcoin	$106,768	Mild correction; sentiment cautious, volumes below highs
Ethereum	$3,623	Tracks Bitcoin with slight underperformance
XRP	$0.52	Stable, regulatory clarity needed
Solana	$165.88	Consolidation, ecosystem growth stable
Litecoin	$78.22	Correction phase, halving effect faded

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Indian Indices: Open Interest & PE Ratio

Index	LTP	OI-Calls	OI-Puts	PCR	PE Ratio
Nifty 50	25,763.35	High @ 25,800 CE	Strong @ 25,600	0.82	22.32
Bank Nifty	58,101.45	Moderate	Not shown	—	17.46

PCR below 1 indicates call volume exceeds puts, moderately bullish for Nifty. PE ratios stay elevated, confirming overvaluation risk but supported by earnings.

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FII & DII Flows

Date	FII Net (₹ Cr)	DII Net (₹ Cr)
Nov 3	–1,042.1	+5,290.5
Oct 31	–6,769.3	+7,068.4
Rolling 1W	Net Selling	Net Buying

FIIs continue to book profits; DIIs maintain strong domestic support, limiting downside in Nifty and Bank Nifty.

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Sector Trends & Futures Signals

• Long Buildup: Nifty PSU Banks (Indian Bank, Bank of Baroda), Steel/Pipes (Wockhardt, Polycab), select NBFCs (IIFL Finance, SBFC Finance).
• Short Buildup: Vodafone Idea, Reliance Power, IIFL.

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Economic Calendar (Key Announcements)

Region	Event	Time/Date	Impact
USA	ISM Manufacturing PMI	Nov 4	Contraction remains, signals industrial slowdown
USA	Speeches: FOMC Bowman, Daly, Cook	Nov 4	Fed policy insights, watch for risk commentary
USA	Crude Oil Inventory (API)	Nov 4 late	Will affect global energy stocks, crude prices
Europe	ECB President Lagarde Speech	Nov 4	Eurozone growth, inflation commentary
Europe	Construction Output	Nov 4	Impact on construction/industrial metal demand
India	WPI Inflation	Nov 4	Key for RBI rate cut/hike stance
India	FII/DII flows	Nov 4	Market sentiment driver
India	Q2 Results: SBI, Mahindra	Nov 4	Will dominate Nifty, Bank Nifty moves

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Fundamental Highlights

• Equities: Mixed global cues as US indices fluctuate on mixed tech earnings; India outperforms as DIIs maintain buying despite persistent FII selling.
• Commodities: Gold remains range-bound with central bank buying; Silver dips on profit-taking. Energy swings on OPEC+ output and winter forecasts.
• Forex: Rupee hits record low, dollar staying firm amid global risk rotation.
• Crypto: Sentiment subdued; altcoins see mild gains, overall market cap dips slightly.
• Corporate News: Major Indian IPOs (Groww, Lenskart) attract strong demand, PSU banks show renewed momentum.

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This is an AI-generated research blog. It does not constitute investment advice or a buy/sell recommendation. For reference and educational use only. Please perform your own due diligence and consult professional financial advisors before making decisions. aiTrendview.com and affiliates assume no liability for any outcomes.