30th October Market Report

Fear & Greed Index

Level	Value	Trend
Extreme Greed	82.48	Overheated market
Greed	64.46	Momentum persists

“The big money is not in the buying and selling, but in the waiting.” – Charlie Munger

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Global Indices Snapshot

Region	Index	Level	High-Low	% Change	Trend
USA	Dow Jones	47,632	47,876 – 47,310	-0.16	Mixed
USA	Nasdaq	23,958.47	24,089 – 23,885	+0.55	Up
USA	S&P 500	6,890.59	6,937 – 6,860	0.00	Flat
Europe (DAX)	Germany	24,124.21	24,315 – 24,095	-0.64	Weak
Europe (FTSE100)	UK	9,756.14	9,820 – 9,710	+0.61	Up
Europe (CAC40)	France	8,200.88	8,276 – 8,190	-0.19	Weak
India	Sensex	84,997.13	85,075 – 84,690	+0.44	New High
India	Nifty 50	26,053.9	26,110 – 25,890	+0.45	Bullish
India	Bank Nifty	58,385.25	58,550 – 58,200	+0.29	Bullish
Asia (Hang Seng)	Hong Kong	26,439.91	26,570 – 26,370	+0.36	Up
Asia (Nikkei 225)	Japan	51,275.89	51,443 – 51,230	-0.06	Flat

Corrected table as per your instruction. Trends reflect observed sentiment and index momentum.

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Precious Metals: Live Prices & 1-Line Fundamentals

Metal	Price (USD)	Fundamental Note
Gold	3,972.8 / oz	Supported by central bank demand, inflation watch
Silver	47.20 / oz	Industrial demand rising, but volatility persists
Platinum	1,583.4 / oz	Auto-sector drive, surplus risk
Palladium	1,420.0 / oz	Facing substitution threats, supply risks

Gold above support, silver strong but choppy. Industrial users remain key for both platinum and palladium.

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Industrial & Other Metals: Live Prices & 1-Line Fundamentals

Metal	Price (USD)	Fundamental Note
Copper	5.1680 / lb	EV demand growth, China restocking
Aluminum	2,841 / ton	Supply tightness, energy constraints
Nickel	15,140.7 / t	Battery demand, oversupply in Asia risk
Lead	2,011.8 / t	Stable demand, battery sector focus
Tin	286,460 / t	Electronics manufacturing recovery

Copper remains globally watched as a leading growth barometer.

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Energy Commodities: Live Prices & 1-Line Fundamentals

Commodity	Price (USD)	Fundamental Note
Brent Crude	64.73 / bbl	OPEC+ compliance is holding, China orders steady
WTI Crude	60.40 / bbl	US stock draws, geopolitical watch
Natural Gas	3.796 / mmbtu	Weather-driven demand, US supply output critical
Uranium (U3O8)	77.65 / lb	Supply concerns, nuclear revival theme

Crude holding key levels; natural gas volatility tied to winter outlooks.

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Forex & Crypto: Major Pairs & Coins

Pair/Coin	Latest Price	Fundamental Note
USD/INR	88.37	Rupee stays firm, trade surplus supports
EUR/USD	1.1347	Dollar strength, ECB dovish stance
GBP/USD	1.3463	BoE cautious, GBP edges higher
JPY/USD	0.00696	Yen at multi-decade low, intervention looming
Bitcoin	$109,089	Cautious after record run, ETF flows key
Ethereum	$3,880	L2 and DApps growth, but outflows increase
XRP	$2.55	SEC case overhang, steady interest

Forex majors mostly rangebound, crypto shows speculative rotation, sentiment remains risk-on but choppy.

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Indian Indices: Open Interest & PE Ratio (Nifty, Bank Nifty)

Index	Level	OI (Oct 29) – Calls	OI – Puts	PCR	PE Ratio* (approx)
Nifty 50	26,053.9	1.09 Cr (27,000)	1.05 Cr (26,000)	1.14	22.5
Bank Nifty	58,385.25	Data not shown	Data not shown	NA	17.8

• Put-Call Ratio for Nifty rose to 1.14, signaling bullish hedging activity.
• PE Ratios are indicative; Nifty’s PE near 22.5, Bank Nifty near 17.8 as of Oct end.30-Oct-2025.pdf​

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Sector Trends & F&O Build-Up

• Long Build-Up: Suzlon Energy, SAIL, Godawari Power, Adani Green Energy, Mphasis
• Short Build-Up: Reliance Power, Netweb Technologies, Federal Bank
• Nifty 500: Volume above 1.5x weekly average for top movers, indicative of strong rotation. Several stocks also reached days high / yearly high.

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Economic Calendar Announcements – 30/10/2025

Region	Key Announcement	Timing (IST)
USA	Fed Bowman speech, Fed Rate Decision	1:55 pm, 6 pm
USA	EIA Nat. Gas Stocks, Treasury Auctions	2:30 pm+
Europe	GDP Growth Rate, Unemployment Rate	10:00 am
Europe	Confidence Index, CPI Flash	Throughout
India	Infrastructure Output	12:30 pm
India	FX Reserves, Fiscal Deficit (PM)	6:00 pm

Watch for FOMC, ECB events and India infra/economic numbers for volatility.

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Fundamental Highlights (Stocks, Markets)

• Indian indices at multi-month highs on trade optimism, foreign inflows.
• US Fed cut rates by 25 bps to 3.754%; US-India trade deal in focus.
• Oil stable, Brent below $65 as US-China/OPEC meetings near.
• Alphabet and Meta Q3 numbers beat, with volatility in US tech.
• Rupee stronger post-Fed, closing last at 88.20.

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Key Market-Moving News – India

1) GDP Upgrade
India’s FY26 GDP forecast raised to 6.7% (prev 6.6%), signalling resilient domestic demand; strengthens equities but increases probability of RBI staying hawkish on inflation.

2) FPI Sentiment Turns Positive
FPIs shift to net-buyers; Nifty/Sensex up ~5% in October, sitting ~1.6–1.9% below all-time highs; foreign inflows supporting market breadth but valuations remain stretched.

3) Market Opens Weak
Sensex opens -462 pts (-0.54%) at ~84,535, Nifty -146 pts (-0.56%) at ~25,907 on global risk-off mood; indicates high correlation to US Fed narrative.

4) Earnings Downgrade Cycle Ending
Large global fund signals India’s earnings-downgrade phase is “mostly behind us”, implying re-rating potential in financials, infra, industrials — capped by lofty multiples.

5) Forex Reserves Fall
FX reserves drop US$2.18B to US$697.78B (as of 10 Oct); currency watch required — extended decline could trigger INR volatility and RBI intervention risk.

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Global Equities

1) Fed Cuts 25 bps to 3.75-4.00%
Liquidity positive, but Powell warns next cut “not guaranteed” — bullish impulse capped, raises volatility into December FOMC.

2) IMF Outlook
Global GDP forecast 3.2% (2025) → 3.1% (2026); macro shows slowdown, pressuring earnings cyclicals and EM risk appetite.

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Commodities

1) Russia Sanctions Fuel Diesel Spike
Diesel crack spreads jump ~20% YoY to ~$29/bbl; energy cost pressure = inflation push + squeeze on heavy-energy sectors.

2) Brent Rises
Brent trades near ~$66/bbl; backwardation widens $0.12 → $1.36 signalling tight supply; bullish short-term structure.

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Crypto

1) Market Cap Slides
Global crypto m-cap ↓1.5% to ~$3.88T; consolidation with no fresh catalysts; rotational mood, dominance with BTC ~58%.

2) Pain From Mid-Oct Crash
Bitcoin crash $126K → <$105K, market wiped ~$20B; volatility high, weak hands still unwinding — leverage pockets vulnerable.

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Forex

1) Yen Weakness Continues
USD/JPY near 152.76 (+3.86% MoM); BoJ dovish stance keeps yen soft — carry trades active, risk if BoJ surprises.

2) Technical Barrier at ¥153
Dollar facing resistance at ~153, support ~150; thin sentiment zone — macro shock can trigger fast FX unwind.

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Bottom-Line Playbook

• India: Bullish bias but stretched valuations; stay selective (banks, infra, cap-goods).
• Global: Fed tone = “cut but not comfort”; volatility regime remains.
• Commodities: Crude biased upside; inflation tail-risk alive.
• Crypto: Rebuild phase, not breakout phase; protect capital.
• FX: Yen pressure = global carry chase; hedge if exposed.

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This is an AI-generated research blog, not an investment recommendation. The information is only for reference and educational use. Markets are inherently risky, and readers are strongly advised to perform their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before acting on any information here. aiTrendview.com and its affiliates assume no liability for outcomes resulting from interpretation of this blog.