Daily Market Pulse – 24th September 2025
🌀 Fear & Greed Index
Current Sentiment: Extreme Greed (73.61)
Weekly Change: Up from 60.44 → showing market overheating.
Market Advice: Be cautious with fresh positions ; watch for corrections.
“Never depend on a single income. Make an investment to create a second source.” – Warren Buffett
🌏 Global Market Overview
US Markets: Dow -0.19% (46,292.78), S&P -0.55% (6,656.92), Nasdaq -0.95% (22,573.47).Europe: DAX +0.36%, FTSE -0.04%, CAC +0.54%.Asia: Nikkei -0.55% (45,243.98), Hang Seng +0.25%, KOSPI -0.54%, ASX200 -0.94%.India: Sensex -0.07% (82,102.1), Nifty 50 -0.13% (25,169.5).Volatility: India VIX +0.64% (10.63).Currency: USD/INR at 88.78 (-0.03).
📉 Gift Nifty at 25,180.5, ~65 pts below futures → weak opening expected.
📰 Market Bulletin
Powell Remarks: Fed Chair flagged inflation risks & job market weakness , making rate outlook complex.US Tech Slide: Nvidia -2.8%, Amazon -3.04%, Microsoft -1.01%, Tesla -1.93%, Apple -0.64%. Boeing (+2%) and Micron (+1.1%) were gainers.Gold: Holding steady at $3,762/oz , US futures at $3,794.Dollar Index: Near 97.23, yen at 147.59, euro at $1.1816.India PSBs: Govt considering raising foreign investment cap above 20% , retaining 51% control.Liquidity Crunch: Banking liquidity deficit after tax outflows; RBI injected funds.Oil: Brent >$67, WTI near $64 amid Russian supply risks.H-1B Changes: US proposed new rules prioritizing higher-paid skilled workers after imposing $100,000 fee.Rupee: Closed at record low ₹88.76 against USD.MF Industry: Zerodha Fund House AUM crossed ₹8,000 Cr in 2 years, led by direct plans.
📈 Index Technicals
🔹 Nifty 50 – 25,169 (-0.13%)
3rd day of losses; small bearish candle, volatility persists.
Above 10- & 20-day EMAs = near-term support.
RSI 56.8 (slightly bearish), MACD positive but losing momentum.
PCR improved to 0.97 from 0.72 = put selling signals support.
Supports: 25,000 / 24,995
Resistances: 25,349 / 25,437
Top Performers: Trent (+2.85%), Axis Bank (+2.31%), JSW Steel (+1.92%)Laggards: Tech Mahindra (-2.23%), SBI Life (-2.06%).
🔹 Bank Nifty – 55,510 (+0.41%)
Bullish candle on strong volumes; defended 10- & 50-day EMAs.
Resistance persists at 55,670.
RSI 57.6; MACD bullish.
Max Call OI: 56,000 (resistance).
Max Put OI: 54,000 (support).
Top Performers: HDFC Bank (+3.63%), IDFC First Bank (+2.85%), Canara Bank (+2.55%)Laggards: IndusInd Bank (-0.58%), ICICI Bank (-0.51%).
📌 Stocks in Focus
Infosys: Expanded partnership with Sunrise (Swiss telecom).Swiggy: To divest ₹2,399 Cr stake in Rapido.Dilip Buildcon: Lowest bidder for ₹1,115 Cr Kerala industrial corridor project.Sonata Software: Won Microsoft AI Business Solutions Award.Meta Infotech: Secured ₹127.7 Cr orders.HCLTech: Raised ₹4.35 Cr via share allotment.Aarti Pharmalabs: Atali Greenfield project to be commissioned 2025.Lemon Tree Hotels: Opened 44-room property in Andhra Pradesh.Bajaj Electricals: Acquiring Morphy Richards brand for ₹146 Cr.Torrent Power: Acquired Newzone India & Power Projects for ₹211 Cr.Torrent Pharma: Cleared for JB Chemicals acquisition in South Africa.
Negative Buzz:
Akzo Nobel: 5% stake sale via block deal at discount.Karur Vysya Bank: Filed writ petition against IT reassessment.ICICI Bank: Show-cause notice for ₹15.6 Cr tax demand.BEPL: Halved expansion plans.Eimco Elecon: Promoter to offload 24.7% stake via OFS.Puravankara: CFO resignation.Gandhar Oil: Terminated JV with Espe Oils.Jagran Prakashan: Facing legal dispute with director.
📊 Derivatives Watch
Nifty PCR: 0.97 → Put selling supportive.Bank Nifty: Strong resistance at 56,000, support at 54,000.
💰 FII & DII Flow (23rd Sept 2025)
FII: -₹38,185 Cr (massive selling).DII: +₹72,223 Cr (heavy inflows offsetting).
🚀 IPO Watch (24 Sept 2025)
Opening Today: Praruh Tech, Aptus Pharma, Gurunanak Agriculture, BMW Ventures, Riddhi Display, Matrix Geo, Justo Realfintech, Ecoline Exim, NSB BPO, True Colors.Ongoing: Solvex Edibles, Prime Cable, BharatRohan Innovations.Upcoming: Multiple listings 25–26 Sept (Ecoline, NSB BPO, etc.).
💎 Commodities & Metals
Precious Metals
Gold (24K): ~₹11,125/gram – Supported by safe-haven demand.Silver: ~₹132,900/kg – Industrial strength in EVs & solar.Platinum: ~$1,395/oz – Auto demand steady.Palladium: ~$1,198/oz – Rangebound.
Other Metals
Copper: ~$9,930/ton – Strong infra & renewables push.Aluminium: ~$2,650/ton – Real estate & packaging demand stable.Zinc: ~$2,420/ton – Steady steel galvanisation demand.
⚡ Energy
Brent Crude: ~$67.1/barrel – Russian supply concerns supportive.WTI Crude: ~$63.9/barrel – Near-term consolidation.Natural Gas (US): ~$3.08/MMBtu – Balanced demand.
💱 Forex & Crypto
USD/INR: ~₹88.78 – Rupee weak at record low.Bitcoin: ~$116,250 – Holding support, awaiting catalysts.Ethereum: ~$3,465 – Consolidating.DXY: ~97.2 – Dollar index stable.
📌 Critical Economic Announcements
🇺🇸 USA
Powell’s hawkish remarks → near-term volatility.
US Inflation & Jobless Data upcoming.
🇮🇳 India
PSB FDI cap hike proposal.
RBI MPC meet (9 Oct).
🇪🇺 Eurozone
ECB Meeting (29–30 Oct).
Inflation & PMI releases.
🌏 Asia
China growth, trade data.
Japan inflation, trade deficit.
Korea exports.
⚠️ Top 5 Risk Triggers for Indian Markets (24th Sept 2025)
FII Outflows: -₹38,185 Cr → persistent selling pressure.USD/INR: Record low at ₹88.78 → inflation risk.Crude Oil: Above $67 → worsening trade deficit.RBI Liquidity: Deficit from tax outflows → RBI intervention critical.Global Central Banks: Hawkish Powell + upcoming ECB meet → volatility risk.
📊 Top 5 Risk Triggers – Trend Table
Risk Factor Today (24 Sept) Previous Day 5-Day Trend FII Flows (₹ Cr) -38,185 -11,247 🔻 Weak (Persistent outflows) USD/INR 88.78 88.76 🔻 Weak (Rupee near record low) Crude Oil (Brent) $67.1/bbl $66.1/bbl 🔺 Rising (Supply risks) RBI Liquidity Deficit (Tax outflows) Neutral 🔻 Stress building Global Policy (Fed/ECB) Hawkish Powell Neutral ⚠️ Risk of volatility
📖 Word of the Day – Acquisition Processing
Process of executing corporate acquisitions, ensuring shareholder entitlements, financial adjustments, and compliance with regulations. Smooth processing minimizes risks and ensures transparent shareholder communication.
🔮 Outlook for 24th September 2025
Bias: Weak-to-flat; volatility to persist after Powell’s remarks.Sectors to Watch: IT (Infosys, Sonata, HCLTech), Infrastructure (Dilip Buildcon), Power & Energy (Torrent, Bajaj Electricals).Investor Takeaway: Market in extreme greed ; keep positions light, hedge with gold, and avoid chasing momentum-heavy stocks.
Disclaimer
Training & Educational Only — This material provided for educational purposes only. Nothing here is investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell financial instruments. Past simulated or historical performance does not predict future results. Always perform full back testing and risk management, and consider seeking advice from a qualified financial professional before trading with real capital.
