24th October Market Report

🌀 Fear & Greed Index

• Current Reading: 79.05 — Extreme Greed
• Weekly Change: +20.24 points (from 58.81 last week)
• Sentiment: Overheated optimism; ideal for cautious profit-booking or hedging new positions.

“Never stop investing. Never stop improving. Never stop doing something new.” — Bob Parsons

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🌏 Global & Domestic Market Overview (as of 10:10 AM IST)

Region / Market	Index	Level (High–Low)	% Change	Trend
🇮🇳 India	Nifty 50	25,891.40 (25,950 – 25,700)	+0.08 %	Rangebound
🇮🇳 India	Sensex	84,556.40 (84,640 – 84,200)	+0.15 %	Positive Bias
🇮🇳 India	Bank Nifty	58,078.05 (58,577 – 57,900)	+0.12 %	Strong Uptrend
🇺🇸 USA	Dow Jones	46,734.61 (46,750 – 46,500)	+0.31 %	Bullish
🇺🇸 USA	Nasdaq Composite	22,941.80 (22,950 – 22,700)	+0.89 %	Strong Recovery
🇺🇸 USA	S&P 500	6,738.44 (6,750 – 6,690)	+0.58 %	Positive
🇩🇪 Germany	DAX 40	24,207.79 (24,250 – 24,100)	+0.23 %	Stable
🇫🇷 France	CAC 40	8,225.78 (8,250 – 8,190)	+0.23 %	Flat
🇬🇧 UK	FTSE 100	9,578.57 (9,600 – 9,520)	+0.67 %	Firm
🇯🇵 Japan	Nikkei 225	49,202.60 (49,280 – 48,800)	+1.15 %	Bullish
🇭🇰 Hong Kong	Hang Seng	26,138.45 (26,200 – 26,000)	+0.66 %	Recovery
🇰🇷 South Korea	KOSPI	3,893.35 (3,900 – 3,850)	+1.24 %	Strong
🇦🇺 Australia	ASX 200	9,024.50 (9,050 – 9,010)	–0.09 %	Flat
🇮🇳 India	GIFT Nifty	26,026.50 (26,060 – 25,950)	+0.26 %	Positive
—	India VIX	11.73 (11.80 – 10.95)	+3.85 %	Volatility Rising
—	USD/INR	87.80 (87.90 – 87.65)	+0.06 %	Rupee Slightly Weak

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📅 Economic Calendar — India / USA / Europe (Week of 21–25 Oct 2025)

🇮🇳 India

• WPI (Sep): +1.78 % — Inflation under control.
• CPI (Sep): 1.54 % — Record 8-year low.
• Trade Balance (Sep): Deficit $19.7B — imports up 4.1 %.
• RBI MPC Minutes: Data-dependent stance; space for easing.
• RBI Forex Reserves (18 Oct): $653.8B — marginal increase.
• Upcoming:
  • Q2 Corporate Results: ITC, SBI Cards, and Dr. Reddy’s on watch.
  • Manufacturing PMI (Oct Preview): Expected around 57.6.

🇺🇸 United States

• Jobless Claims (Oct 18): 232K (prev. 220K).
• Existing Home Sales (Sep): –1.3 % MoM — weak housing demand.
• PPI (Sep): +0.3 % MoM — moderate inflation.
• Retail Sales (Sep): +0.4 % MoM — steady consumer spending.
• GDP (Advance Q3): Scheduled for 24 Oct — expected +2.4 %.
• Upcoming: Michigan Sentiment & Core PCE data next week.

🇪🇺 Europe & UK

• Eurozone CPI (Final Sep): +2.4 % YoY — steady.
• Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment: +8.2 — slightly upbeat.
• ECB Policy Tone: Lagarde reiterates “data dependence” and caution.
• UK CPI (Sep): +3.1 % YoY — slightly below consensus.
• UK GDP (Q3): +0.4 % QoQ — resilient despite weak EU trade.

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📰 Market Bulletin — Key Developments

• GIFT Nifty: Up +66 points, indicating a strong open near 26,000.
• US Markets: Dow, S&P, Nasdaq all higher — tech rebound led by Intel (+3.36 %).
• Asia: Japan, Korea, and Hong Kong lead gains on US–China summit optimism.
• India Defence: DAC clears ₹79,000 Cr capital purchases — includes Nag missiles, torpedoes, and LRSAMs.
• Coca-Cola: Takes $1B charge on African stake sale to HBC.
• Japan CPI (Sep): +2.9 % YoY — highest in 2025.
• Oil: Brent stable at $66 amid US sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil.
• Starlink: Plans nine India gateway stations (Mumbai, Hyderabad, Pune).
• Rupee: Strengthened 5 paise to ₹87.88/$ after FII inflows.

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📈 Technical Overview

Nifty 50 — 25,891.4 (+0.08 %)

• Trend: 6th straight gain; momentum intact.
• Supports: 25,700 / 25,500 | Resistances: 26,000 / 26,200.
• Indicators: RSI 72 — overbought; MACD positive.
• Pattern: Higher highs continue; profit booking likely near 26,100.

Bank Nifty — 58,078.05 (+0.12 %)

• Trend: Record high 58,577; RSI 76 → overheated.
• Supports: 57,400 / 57,000 | Resistances: 58,500 / 58,800.
• Volatility: High Bollinger expansion — expect intraday swings.

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💰 FII & DII Flows (Cash Market)

Date	FII (₹ Cr)	DII (₹ Cr)
23 Oct 2025	–22,684.2	+58,253.0
21 Oct 2025	–193.3	+23,727.4
20 Oct 2025	+30.2	+7,298.8
17 Oct 2025	–1,165.9	+3,893.7

Observation: Heavy DII support continues to offset foreign selling pressure. Domestic mutual fund inflows remain strong.

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💎 Commodities & Metals (as of 10:10 AM IST)

Asset	Price	% Change	Comment
Gold (Spot)	$4,108.52 / oz	+0.30 %	Rebound amid geopolitical tension.
Silver (India)	₹146,550 / kg	–1.0 %	Mild correction post rally.
Brent Crude	$65.00 / bbl	Flat	Supported by Russia sanctions.
WTI Crude	$61.60 / bbl	+0.10 %	Stable.
Copper (LME)	$10,275 / t	+0.15 %	Tight inventories support.
Aluminium (LME)	$2,660 / t	–0.10 %	Marginally lower.

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💱 Forex & Crypto Overview (Live as of 10:10 AM IST)

Asset	Price	% Change	Comment
USD/INR	87.80	+0.06 %	Slight rupee weakness.
Bitcoin (BTC)	$111,825	–0.12 %	Rangebound trading.
Ethereum (ETH)	$3,916	+0.09 %	Mild recovery.
Dollar Index (DXY)	98.45	Flat	Below 100 mark; neutral tone.

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⚠️ Top 5 Risk Triggers

1. Overbought RSI levels in major indices (70–76).
2. FII selling despite DII support.
3. Rising crude oil due to geopolitical tensions.
4. Potential volatility spike before month-end expiry.
5. Global inflation rebound risk in 2025 Q4.

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🔮 Outlook for 25 October 2025

• Bias: Sideways-to-positive; minor profit booking expected above 26,000.
• Nifty Range: 25,700 – 26,200 | Bank Nifty: 57,500 – 58,600.
• Sectors to Watch: Defence, Energy, PSU Banks strong; IT & FMCG steady.
• Strategy: Trail stops; accumulate quality midcaps on dips.

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📖 Word of the Day — “Stop-Limit Order”

A Stop-Limit Order triggers once a set stop price is reached but executes only at or better than a specified limit price.
Useful in volatile markets to avoid unfavorable fills and manage execution precision.

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📜 Disclaimer — aiTrendview.com

This report is for training and educational purposes only.
It does not constitute investment or trading advice.
aiTrendview.com and its contributors are not SEBI-registered analysts.
All data herein is AI-aggregated from verified public sources and cross-checked for accuracy.
Readers should consult certified financial professionals before making any investment decisions.

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