23rd October Market Report

🌀 Fear & Greed Index

• Current Reading: 80.2 — Extreme Greed
• Weekly Change: +21.39 points (from 58.81 last week)
• Market Sentiment: Strong optimism dominates; traders advised to book partial profits or trail positions as euphoria builds.

“The ability to outperform in the financial market requires creativity, vision, and the ability to see things that others cannot.” — John Rogers

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🌏 Global & Domestic Market Overview (as of 10:35 AM IST)

Region / Market	Index	Level (High–Low)	% Change	Trend
🇮🇳 India	Nifty 50	25,868.60 (25,950 – 25,700)	+0.10 %	Flat to Positive
🇮🇳 India	Sensex	84,426.34 (84,500 – 83,800)	+0.56 %	Bullish
🇮🇳 India	Bank Nifty	58,007.20 (58,150 – 57,800)	–0.04 %	Rangebound
🇺🇸 USA	Dow Jones	46,590.41 (46,750 – 46,200)	–0.71 %	Weak
🇺🇸 USA	Nasdaq Composite	22,740.40 (22,880 – 22,500)	–0.93 %	Bearish
🇺🇸 USA	S&P 500	6,699.40 (6,720 – 6,650)	–0.53 %	Corrective
🇩🇪 Germany	DAX 40	24,151.13 (24,250 – 23,950)	–0.74 %	Soft
🇫🇷 France	CAC 40	8,206.87 (8,240 – 8,150)	–0.63 %	Weak
🇬🇧 UK	FTSE 100	9,515.00 (9,540 – 9,430)	+0.93 %	Positive
🇭🇰 Hong Kong	Hang Seng	25,706.80 (25,820 – 25,600)	–0.29 %	Flat
🇯🇵 Japan	Nikkei 225	48,725.03 (48,900 – 48,200)	–1.18 %	Downtrend
🇰🇷 South Korea	KOSPI	3,881.20 (3,900 – 3,860)	–0.06 %	Neutral
🇦🇺 Australia	ASX 200	9,023.30 (9,050 – 8,980)	–0.07 %	Flat
🇮🇳 India	GIFT Nifty	26,262.50 (26,300 – 26,100)	+1.31 %	Strong Gap-Up Indication
—	India VIX	11.30 (11.40 – 10.95)	–0.51 %	Low Volatility
—	USD/INR	87.79 (87.90 – 87.65)	+0.07 %	Slight Rupee Weakness

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📅 Economic Calendar — India / USA / Europe (Week of 21–25 Oct 2025)

🇮🇳 India

• WPI (Sep): +1.78 % — mild rise; inflation remains under control.
• CPI (Sep): 1.54 % — lowest since 2016.
• Trade Deficit (Sep): $19.7B — imports up, exports steady.
• RBI Gold Reserves: 880 MT — $95B value, record level.
• Banking & Fiscal Data: To be released on 25 Oct.
• Upcoming: Q2 Corporate Results — HDFC Bank, Reliance, and ITC this week.

🇺🇸 United States

• FOMC Minutes (Oct): Confirmed dovish stance, hinting at Dec rate cut.
• PPI (Sep): +0.3 % — stable industrial inflation.
• Retail Sales (Sep): +0.4 % — consumer spending resilient.
• Initial Jobless Claims: 230 K — stable labor market.
• Existing Home Sales (Sep): –1.3 % MoM — soft housing demand.
• Q3 GDP (Advance): Due 24 Oct — projected +2.4 % growth.

🇪🇺 Europe & UK

• Eurozone CPI (Final Sep): +2.4 % YoY — steady.
• Germany ZEW Index: +8.2 — modest optimism.
• Industrial Output: +0.3 % — recovering manufacturing.
• ECB Speech (Lagarde): Reaffirmed data dependency and caution.
• UK CPI (Sep): +3.1 % YoY — slightly below forecast.
• UK GDP (Q3): +0.4 % QoQ — resilient.

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📰 Market Bulletin — Key Developments

• GIFT Nifty: Signals a massive 374-point gap-up start for India.
• Global Markets: US, Europe fell on tech earnings; Asia mixed.
• Tesla: Missed Q3 estimates — profit $0.50/share; shares down 5 %.
• Netflix: –10.7 % after weak subscriber growth.
• Infosys: Co-founders skipped ₹18,000 Cr buyback, increasing stake.
• Indian Army: ₹2,700 Cr carbine order with Bharat Forge & PLR.
• Rupee: Strengthened 9 paise to ₹87.93/$ on Monday.
• Oil: +2.9 % after US sanctions on Russian majors Rosneft & Lukoil — Brent > $64/bbl.
• Silver ETFs: Down 19 % MoM; global silver prices down 7.1 %.
• RBI Reserves: Surpass $95B in gold holdings amid global uncertainty.

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📈 Technical Overview

Nifty 50 — 25,868.6 (+0.10 %)

• Trend: 5th consecutive positive close.
• Structure: Higher high–higher low; momentum firm.
• Supports: 25,750 / 25,700 | Resistances: 26,000 / 26,200.
• Indicators: RSI 72.26 (Overbought) | MACD Positive.

Bank Nifty — 58,007.2 (–0.04 %)

• Trend: Sideways with bullish undertone.
• Supports: 57,400 / 57,000 | Resistances: 58,300 / 58,800.
• OI Data: Max Call OI at 58,000; Max Put OI at 57,000 — key support zone.

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💰 FII & DII Flows (Cash Market)

Date	FII (₹ Cr)	DII (₹ Cr)
21 Oct 2025	–24,428.4	+56,941.9
20 Oct 2025	+2,362.1	+21,028.1
17 Oct 2025	+2,262.0	+12,131.4
16 Oct 2025	+96.7	–607.0

Observation: FIIs resumed selling; DIIs absorb heavy pressure. Liquidity remains domestically strong.

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💎 Commodities & Metals (10:35 AM IST)

Asset	Price	% Change	Comment
Gold (Spot)	$4,245 / oz	–0.45 %	Consolidation near highs.
Silver (India)	₹160,800 / kg	–1.9 %	ETF unwinding.
Brent Crude	$64.10 / bbl	+2.9 %	Post-sanction rally.
WTI Crude	$60.60 / bbl	+3.1 %	Geopolitical risk premium.
Copper (LME)	$10,290 / t	+0.1 %	Tight supply continues.
USD/INR	87.79	+0.07 %	Rupee stable.

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💱 Forex & Crypto Overview

• USD/INR: 87.79 — mildly weaker.
• Bitcoin: $118,010 (+0.2 %).
• Ethereum: $4,022 (+0.3 %).
• Dollar Index: 98.34 — near quarterly low.

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⚠️ Top 5 Risk Triggers

1. FII outflows despite strong DII absorption.
2. Tech earnings pressure in global markets.
3. Rising crude prices after sanctions.
4. Overheated sentiment — Nifty RSI above 70.
5. USD/INR volatility near 88 range.

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🔮 Outlook for 24 October 2025

• Bias: Positive continuation; 26,000 target on Nifty achievable.
• Strategy: Hold long positions with 25,750 stop; use dips for accumulation.
• Focus Sectors: Energy, Defence, Auto, and Banking.

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📖 Word of the Day — “Trade Reporting”

The process of publicly or privately disclosing trade details (price, volume, time) to regulators or exchanges for transparency and compliance.
It enhances market oversight and helps prevent manipulation or misreporting.

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📜 Disclaimer — aiTrendview.com

This report is prepared for educational and informational purposes only.
It does not constitute trading or investment advice.
aiTrendview.com and its contributors are not SEBI-registered analysts.
All information is AI-aggregated and cross-verified from publicly available data sources.
Readers should consult licensed advisors before making financial decisions.

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