22nd September Market Report

Daily Market Pulse – 22nd September 2025

🌀 Fear & Greed Index

• Current Sentiment: Extreme Greed (78.41)
• Weekly Change: Sharp jump from 55.12 → signals overheating.
• Market Advice: Exercise caution with new positions; risk of pullbacks rising.

“A large advance in the stock market is basically a sign for caution and not a reason for confidence.” – Benjamin Graham

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🌏 Global Market Overview

• US Markets: Dow +0.37% (46,315.27), S&P +0.49% (6,664.36), Nasdaq +0.72% (22,631.48).
• Europe: DAX -0.15%, FTSE -0.12%, CAC -0.01%.
• Asia: Nikkei +1.43% (45,688.32), Hang Seng -0.61%, KOSPI +0.80%, ASX200 +0.21%.
• India: Sensex -0.47% (82,626.23), Nifty 50 -0.38% (25,327.05).
• Volatility: India VIX +0.83% (9.97).
• Currency: USD/INR at 88.1 (-0.12%).

📉 Gift Nifty at 25,314 → weak start expected.

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📰 Market Bulletin

• US Stocks: FedEx rallied on earnings beat; weekly US indices closed higher.
• H-1B Shock: US announced $100,000 annual fee on new H-1B visas (effective Sept 21), hurting Indian IT stocks (Infosys ADR -4%, Wipro ADR -2%).
• India GST: Rate cuts on 375 items effective Sept 22 (slabs trimmed to 5% & 18%).
• Critical Minerals: India pursuing supply deals with Peru, Chile, Argentina for green energy.
• Rupee: Gained 4 paise on optimism around US-India trade talks.
• Gold: Near record highs as traders await US inflation data.
• Digital Gold: Purchases via UPI surged 377% in 16 months (₹1,184 Cr).
• Oil: Brent above $66, WTI ~$63 on Russian supply monitoring.
• MF News: Jio BlackRock MF to launch first active flexi-cap equity fund (Sept 23–Oct 7).

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📈 Index Technicals

🔹 Nifty 50 – 25,327 (-0.38%)

• Reversed after 3-day rally; faced resistance near 25,450–25,500.
• Bearish candle on volumes, but still above key EMAs.
• RSI 63.7 with downward tilt. MACD still bullish.
• Supports: 25,300 / 25,000
• Resistances: 25,450 / 26,000

Top Performers: HCL Tech (+5.08%), BPCL (+1.18%), Adani Enterprises (+1.22%)
Laggards: M&M (-1.77%), IndusInd Bank (-1.38%), ICICI Bank (-1.37%).

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🔹 Bank Nifty – 55,459 (-0.48%)

• First drop after 12 days of gains.
• RSI eased to 57.5; MACD bullish but flattening.
• Price stretched above EMAs → consolidation likely.
• Supports: 55,000 / 54,460
• Resistance: 55,859 / 56,200

Top Performers: ICICI Bank (+2.04%), PNB (+1.29%), BoB (+1.26%)
Laggards: Kotak Bank (-1.15%), HDFC Bank (-1.02%).

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📌 Stocks in Focus

• PNC Infratech: ₹495 Cr Bihar bridge project order.
• Swan Defence: ₹4,250 Cr MoU with Gujarat Maritime Board.
• Hariom Pipes: ₹3,135 Cr integrated steel plant MoU in Maharashtra.
• Oil India: JV with RVUNL for 1.2 GW renewables in Rajasthan.
• Somany Ceramics: ₹126 Cr investment in Bengaluru Twin Towers project.
• Crompton Greaves: MoU with NBCC for 4 projects across states.
• Netweb Tech: ₹450 Cr AI GPU order (execution by FY26).
• Ceigall India: Lowest bidder for ₹1,700 Cr solar project.
• Jubilant Pharmova: US FDA inspection closed with no observations.
• Garden Reach Shipbuilders: Preferred bidder for limestone mining lease.

Negative Buzz:

• Lupin (US FDA 4 observations at Pune unit).
• Trident (₹519 Cr tax demand update).
• Ashoka Buildcon (terminated Ivory Coast project).
• GNFC (TDI-II plant leak at Dahej).
• Dee Dev (tariff recovery dispute).
• Vodafone Idea (AGR case hearing Sept 26).

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📊 Derivatives Watch

• Nifty PCR: Above 1 at 25,300 → Put support intact.
• Bank Nifty: OI clustering at 55,000 & 55,200 = consolidation.

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💰 FII & DII Flow (19th Sept 2025)

• FII: -₹33,201 Cr (heavy selling continues).
• DII: +₹70,993 Cr (domestic inflows cushioning).

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🚀 IPO Watch

• Today (22 Sept): Solvex Edibles (₹72–80), Prime Cable (₹78–83), Siddhi Cotspin (₹102–108), Ganesh Consumer (₹306–322), Atlanta Electricals (₹718–754).
• Ongoing: JD Cables, GK Energy, Ivalue Infosolutions, Saatvik Green Energy.
• Upcoming: More listings on Sept 23–24.

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💎 Commodities & Metals

Precious Metals

• Gold (24K): ~₹11,120/gram – Near record high; safe-haven flows intact.
• Silver: ~₹132,850/kg – Demand from EVs & solar continues.
• Platinum: ~$1,395/oz – Auto catalyst demand steady.
• Palladium: ~$1,200/oz – Rangebound.

Other Metals

• Copper: ~$9,925/ton – Stronger infra push supporting.
• Aluminium: ~$2,645/ton – Consumption healthy in real estate.
• Zinc: ~$2,415/ton – Stable steel galvanisation demand.

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⚡ Energy

• Brent Crude: ~$66.1/barrel – Supply disruptions supportive.
• WTI Crude: ~$63.2/barrel – Rangebound.
• Natural Gas (US): ~$3.07/MMBtu – Balanced outlook.

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💱 Forex & Crypto

• USD/INR: ~₹88.1 – Rupee firm on trade optimism.
• Bitcoin: ~$116,300 – Holding strong; sentiment positive.
• Ethereum: ~$3,480 – Consolidating with steady demand.
• DXY: ~97.1 – Slight rebound.

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📌 Critical Economic Announcements

🇺🇸 USA

• US Inflation Data (Sept) – Fed guidance trigger.
• Housing & Jobs Reports.

🇮🇳 India

• GST rate cuts (effective Sept 22).
• RBI MPC meet (9 Oct 2025).
• Trade & fiscal deficit updates.

🇪🇺 Eurozone

• ECB Meet (29–30 Oct).
• CPI & PMI.

🌏 Asia

• China GDP & trade.
• Japan inflation, trade balance.
• South Korea exports.

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📖 Word of the Day – Out-of-the-Money (OTM)

An option with no intrinsic value: call OTM if strike > spot; put OTM if strike < spot. Cheap but speculative, highly time-decay sensitive.

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🔮 Outlook for 22nd September 2025

• Bias: Weak opening expected; consolidation likely after sharp rally.
• Sectors to Watch: Infrastructure (PNC, Swan Defence), Renewables (Oil India, Ceigall), IT (Infosys, Wipro under H-1B pressure).
• Investor Takeaway: Extreme greed suggests prudence; keep positions light, hedge with gold, and watch for volatility spikes.

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Disclaimer

• Training & Educational Only — This material provided for educational purposes only. Nothing here is investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell financial instruments. Past simulated or historical performance does not predict future results. Always perform full back testing and risk management, and consider seeking advice from a qualified financial professional before trading with real capital.