20th October Market Report

🌀 Fear & Greed Index

• Current Reading: 69.61 — Greed Zone
• Weekly Change: +4.97 points (from 64.64 last week)
• Market Sentiment: Optimistic. Traders continue to buy the rally, but volatility spikes warrant caution.

“In the short run, the market is a voting machine. In the long run, it is a weighing machine.” — Benjamin Graham

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🌏 Global & Domestic Market Overview (as of 11:15 AM IST)

Region / Market	Index	Level (High–Low)	% Change	Trend
🇮🇳 India	Nifty 50	25,709.85 (25,740 – 25,500)	+0.49 %	Bullish
🇮🇳 India	Sensex	83,952.19 (83,970 – 83,500)	+0.58 %	Uptrend
🇮🇳 India	Bank Nifty	57,713.35 (57,780 – 57,200)	+0.51 %	Strong
🇺🇸 USA	Dow Jones	46,190.61 (46,350 – 45,920)	+0.52 %	Positive
🇺🇸 USA	Nasdaq Composite	22,679.98 (22,800 – 22,350)	+0.52 %	Bullish
🇺🇸 USA	S&P 500	6,664.01 (6,690 – 6,610)	+0.53 %	Steady
🇩🇪 Germany	DAX 40	23,830.99 (23,950 – 23,700)	–1.82 %	Weak
🇫🇷 France	CAC 40	8,174.20 (8,190 – 8,080)	–0.18 %	Flat
🇬🇧 UK	FTSE 100	9,354.57 (9,390 – 9,310)	–0.86 %	Soft
🇭🇰 Hong Kong	Hang Seng	25,739.02 (25,820 – 25,400)	+1.95 %	Strong Rebound
🇯🇵 Japan	Nikkei 225	48,861.84 (48,920 – 47,650)	+2.69 %	Record High
🇰🇷 South Korea	KOSPI	3,774.54 (3,780 – 3,740)	+0.68 %	Positive
🇦🇺 Australia	ASX 200	8,991.20 (9,010 – 8,960)	–0.05 %	Flat
🇮🇳 India	GIFT Nifty	25,962.00 (25,990 – 25,850)	+0.80 %	Bullish
—	India VIX	11.67 (11.80 – 10.90)	+7.36 %	Volatility Rising
—	USD/INR	87.95 (88.00 – 87.80)	+0.01 %	Stable

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📅 Economic Calendar — India / USA / Europe (Week of 20 Oct 2025)

🇮🇳 India

• WPI (Sep): +1.78 % — mild rise from August.
• CPI (Sep): 1.54 % — disinflation continues; policy room for RBI.
• Trade Balance (Sep): Deficit widened to $19.7B as import bill rose.
• RBI MPC Minutes: “Holding stance but acknowledging dovish scope.”
• Forex Reserves (Week ending 18 Oct): ~$653.8B — slightly higher.
• Upcoming: Manufacturing PMI (Oct Preview) due 23 Oct.

🇺🇸 United States

• Retail Sales (Sep): +0.4 % MoM — inline with expectations.
• PPI (Sep): +0.3 % MoM — stable inflation.
• FOMC Minutes: Indicated dovish tilt; Fed may ease by December.
• Jobless Claims: 230K vs 235K expected — labor market stable.
• Existing Home Sales: Due 22 Oct; expected decline of 1.2 %.
• GDP Q3 (Advance): Due 24 Oct — expected +2.4 % annualized.

🇪🇺 Europe & UK

• Eurozone CPI (Final Sep): +2.4 % YoY — unchanged.
• Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment: +8.2 — steady optimism.
• Industrial Output (Eurozone): +0.3 % — mild recovery.
• ECB President Lagarde: Comments due 21 Oct — expected neutral.
• UK GDP (Q3): +0.4 % QoQ — resilient; BoE cautious on rates.
• UK CPI (Sep): Due 23 Oct — expected +3.2 % YoY.

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📰 Market Bulletin — Key Developments

• Indian Equities: Nifty rallies for 3rd session; Bank Nifty hits new highs on PSU strength.
• Global Equities: Asia higher on Japan’s record-breaking rally; US markets steady.
• Trump–Xi Trade Optimism: White House confirms early November meeting.
• China: Holds 1-year LPR at 3.0 % and 5-year at 3.5 % for 5th month.
• Currency: USD/INR steady at 87.95; Rupee rangebound.
• Metals: Silver falls 6 %, biggest drop in 6 months; Gold steady at $4,245/oz.
• Energy: Brent $61.05 / WTI $57.33 — mild correction on supply glut worries.
• Corporate:
  • Reliance Industries: Q2 net profit ₹18,165 Cr (+10 % YoY).
  • HDFC Bank: Net profit ₹18,641 Cr (+10.8 % YoY).
  • JSW Steel: Crude steel production +17 % YoY.
  • Coal India: ₹12,250 Cr sponsor support with GAIL/RCF/FCIL.
  • Sterling & Wilson: ₹1,772 Cr new orders.
  • Power Grid: Acquires SR WR transmission project for ₹11.29 Cr.
  • PNB: Q2 PAT ₹4,904 Cr (+14 % YoY).
  • L&T Tech: ₹360 Cr Petronet LNG contract.
  • IndiaMart: Q2 PAT ₹83 Cr (–38.8 % YoY).

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📈 Technical Outlook

Nifty 50 — 25,709.85 (+0.49 %)

• Trend: Bullish continuation; breakout above prior trendline.
• Supports: 25,500 / 25,300 | Resistances: 25,740 / 26,000.
• Momentum: RSI 69, MACD positive — bullish momentum intact.

Bank Nifty — 57,713.35 (+0.51 %)

• Trend: Higher highs, strong participation; record close.
• Supports: 56,850 / 56,300 | Resistances: 57,900 / 58,200.
• Indicators: RSI 74 — near overbought; potential consolidation ahead.

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💰 FII & DII Flows (Cash Market)

Date	FII (₹ Cr)	DII (₹ Cr)
17 Oct 2025	–25,682.6	+62,788.7
16 Oct 2025	+2,601.9	+24,638.6
15 Oct 2025	–373.7	+16,247.4
14 Oct 2025	+309.0	+1,526.6

Observation: FII selling continues, but domestic inflows sustain liquidity; market resilience remains intact.

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💎 Commodities & Metals (11:15 AM IST)

Asset	Price	% Change	Comment
Gold (Spot)	$4,245 / oz	–0.40 %	Consolidation near record.
Silver (India)	₹162,700 / kg	–6.00 %	Sharp correction post rally.
Brent Crude	$61.05 / bbl	–0.40 %	Supply glut concerns.
WTI Crude	$57.33 / bbl	–0.40 %	Weak demand outlook.
Copper (LME)	$10,280 / t	+0.12 %	Tight supply supports.
USD/INR	87.95	+0.01 %	Stable rupee.

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💱 Forex & Crypto Overview

• USD/INR: 87.95 (rangebound).
• Dollar Index: 98.54 (steady).
• Bitcoin: $117,650 (–0.4 %).
• Ethereum: $4,018 (+0.2 %).

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⚠️ Top 5 Risk Triggers

1. FII outflows offsetting domestic liquidity support.
2. Silver & crude price volatility.
3. Rising VIX (+7.3 %) indicates caution near highs.
4. Inflation data & Fed tone may trigger global rebalancing.
5. Overheated PSU and metal sectors may correct.

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🔮 Outlook for 21 October 2025

• Bias: Bullish continuation with sector rotation likely.
• Nifty Range: 25,500 – 25,950 | Bank Nifty: 57,100 – 58,000.
• Sectors to Watch: Energy, PSU Banks, Defence; cautious on IT.
• Strategy: Trail long positions; avoid fresh aggressive leverage.

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📖 Word of the Day — “Intraday Position”

Refers to trades opened and closed within the same day.
These are short-term moves based on volatility and liquidity,
aimed at capturing quick profits with strict stop-loss discipline.

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📜 Disclaimer — aiTrendview.com

This report is for educational and informational purposes only.
It does not constitute investment or trading advice.
aiTrendview.com and its contributors are not SEBI-registered analysts.
All market data is AI-aggregated from public sources and verified for accuracy.
Readers should consult certified financial experts before acting on any insights.

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