16th November Market Report

Here are predictions for how the global markets might move on Monday, 17 November 2025, broken down by region/asset type with technical + fundamental commentary each. These are not guarantees — they’re directional hypotheses based on present data and context.


US Markets (Equities & Bonds)

Fundamental: The US economy appears to be slowing (GDP growth around ~1.6 % for 2025) with inflation stubborn above 4%. The Federal Reserve remains cautious on rate cuts — uncertainty reduces risk-taking.
Technical: Equity indices are near record highs, which elevates correction risk and compresses upside; momentum may fade. Support zones should hold (for example S&P near 6,600–6,700) if no shock. Bond yields likely to drift up if growth surprises, putting pressure on rate-sensitive stocks.
Prediction: Monday may open flat to slightly weaker as investors wait for US data and Fed minutes; strong earnings or surprise inflation could flip it positive, but absence of catalyst means a tepid start.
Directional: Slightly bearish to neutral, tilting negative if rate hawkishness hits the tape.


European Markets

Fundamental: Europe still faces structural headwinds (weak manufacturing growth, exposure to China) though recent data show modest improvement. (JPMorgan) ECB policy and geopolitical uncertainty remain risk.
Technical: European indices (e.g., DAX) recently rallied, but momentum may slow; a pullback would test prior support ~13,800 for DAX. Volume and breadth will be key.
Prediction: Expect a watch-and-wait opening Monday — rallying earlier, but now likely to pause. If euro weakens or energy/utilities stumble, Europe may underperform.
Directional: Neutral to slightly bearish.


Asian Markets

Fundamental: Asia remains driven by China’s demand outlook and export flows; investor sentiment is sensitive to global risk appetite.
Technical: Key indices such as Hang Seng and Nikkei recently showed divergence (Hang weak, Nikkei up). For Monday, support zones for Nikkei (~33,500) and for emerging Asia (e.g., KOSPI ~2,470) will matter.
Prediction: Asia may open optimistic if US futures hold and commodity/energy prices stabilise; however weak China data or offshore selling could flip the tone.
Directional: Slightly bullish, but contingent on global cues.


Commodities & Energy

Fundamental: Oil remains sensitive to geopolitical developments and supply cuts; gold is reacting to safe-haven demand and US rate expectations.
Technical: Brent crude above ~$64 should find support if tensions persist; gold needs reclaim of ~$4,100 to resume upside. Base metals weakish due to China concerns.
Prediction: Monday likely sees mixed/volatile commodity action: crude could rally on Middle East tensions, gold may drift unless risk spikes.
Directional: Oil – slightly bullish; gold – neutral to slightly bearish; base metals – bearish.


Forex (Global Currencies)

Fundamental: Dollar strength is supported by safe-haven flows and US rate expectations; emerging market currencies under pressure from FX outflows.
Technical: USD/INR around ~88.7 looks poised for mild upside if FII selling continues; EUR/USD may test support near 1.08.
Prediction: On Monday, expect USD to remain firm or slightly higher; INR likely to depreciate modestly if global risk aversion increases.
Directional: USD – bullish; INR and most EM currencies – mildly bearish.


Crypto Markets

Fundamental: Crypto remains highly speculative; macro risk (rate cuts, inflation) and institutional flows drive sentiment.
Technical: Bitcoin (~$95-97k) is below key psychological $100k — risk of further drift; support ~ $90k. Volume thin, so sharp moves possible.
Prediction: Monday could open weak in crypto unless a surprise catalyst hits — likely continuing sideways to lower.
Directional: Slightly bearish.


Upcoming IPOs (India)

Here are some upcoming issues:

  • Fujiyama Power Systems Ltd – bidding 13–17 Nov 2025.
  • Capillary Technologies India Ltd – bidding 14–18 Nov 2025.
  • Other pipeline: renewables/tech names in November.
    These IPOs may absorb liquidity and draw attention away from secondary market trading.

CompanyRegionIPO DateValuation (approx.)Notes
SBI Funds ManagementIndiaH1 2026₹12,000 CrLargest asset manager IPO
Capillary TechnologiesIndia18 Nov 2025₹3,600 CrCloud-based SaaS platform
Fujiyama Power SystemsIndia17 Nov 2025₹2,000 CrRenewable energy systems
Tenneco Clean AirUSNov 2025$1.2 BAutomotive emission solutions
Other mid-cap tech IPOsEUNov-Dec 2025VariableGrowth segments in software/apps


This outlook combines technical chart analysis with up-to-date economic, geopolitical, and market fundamentals to guide likely movements on 17 November 2025. The atmosphere remains cautious but with potential selective rebounds. Key economic data releases and geopolitical news will be crucial catalysts.


Summary & Trade Setup for 17 Nov

  • US & Europe: be cautious — limited upside, risk skewed toward pause or pull-back.
  • Asia: slightly more favourable, but dependent on global cues.
  • Commodities/FX: selective opportunities (oil) and risk (EM currencies).
  • Crypto: no strong catalyst — lean defensive.
  • IPO calendar: expect distraction of liquidity; adjust exposure accordingly.

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