Daily Market Pulse – 15th September 2025
🌀 Fear & Greed Index
- Current Sentiment: Greed (55.12)
- Weekly Change: Mild upward shift, suggesting selective buying appetite.
- Market Advice: Good time to hold positions but be cautious with fresh entries.
“In a speculative market, what counts is imagination and not analysts.” – Benjamin Graham
🌏 Global Market Overview
- US Markets: Mixed close – Dow -0.59%, S&P -0.05%, Nasdaq +0.44% (record high).
- Europe: DAX -0.02%, FTSE -0.15%, CAC +0.02%.
- Asia: Nikkei +0.89%, KOSPI -0.04%, Hang Seng -0.08%, ASX200 -0.24%.
- India: Sensex +0.44% (81,904.7), Nifty 50 +0.43% (25,114).
📉 Gift Nifty traded 43 points lower than Nifty futures, hinting at a weak start.
📰 Market Bulletin
- Inflation: India’s CPI rose to 2.07% in August (vs 1.61% in July), first rise since Oct 2024.
- SEBI Updates: Relaxed MPS rules, eased foreign investor entry, and reduced MF exit loads.
- US Data: 1-year inflation expectations steady at 4.8%, 5-year expectations up to 3.9%.
- Crude Oil: Brent at $67.11 (+0.18%), WTI at $62.83 (+0.22%) on Ukraine–Russia tensions.
- Gold: Up 50.1% YoY, outperforming Sensex (-1.2%) due to central bank buying.
- Rupee: Closed stronger at 88.28 vs USD (+16 paise).
📈 Index Technicals
🔹 Nifty 50 – 25,114 (+0.43%)
- 8th straight gain, strongest since July 23.
- Bullish candlestick; RSI at 61 (positive crossover).
- MACD above zero with rising momentum.
- Supports: 25,055 / 24,996
- Resistances: 25,199 / 25,258
Top Performers: Hindustan Unilever (+3.67%), Bajaj Finance (+3.40%), Bajaj Finserv (+2.14%)
Laggards: Bajaj Auto (-1.25%), IndusInd Bank (-1.08%), HCL Tech (-2.9%)
🔹 Bank Nifty – 54,809 (+0.26%)
- Doji candlestick = indecision.
- RSI at 49.6 with bullish crossover.
- MACD turning positive.
- Support: 54,000 (Put OI: 13.85L contracts).
- Resistance: 57,000 (Call OI: 18.28L contracts).
Top Performers: Federal Bank (+1.65%), ICICI Bank (+1.15%)
Worst: IndusInd Bank (-1.08%), Canara Bank (-0.99%)
📌 Stocks in Focus
- Adani Power: 25-yr pact with Bihar State Power Gen. for 2,400 MW supply.
- ASM Technologies: ₹209.7 Cr Bihar Edu Project order.
- Shakti Pumps: Secured ₹374 Cr solar pump order (PM-KUSUM).
- ICICI Bank: RBI nod to hike stake in ICICI Prudential AMC by 2%.
- Apollo Hospitals: To acquire IFC’s 31% stake in Apollo Health for ₹1,254 Cr.
- Senores Pharma: ₹250 Cr ESDM expansion in TN.
- Engineers India: Won ₹618 Cr fertiliser project contract in Africa.
Negative Buzz:
- Dr Reddy’s (US FDA Form 483 with 5 observations).
- Som Distilleries (Customs inquiry).
- Steel Strips & Blue Jet Health (CFO resignations).
- KRBL (Independent Director quit citing governance issues).
📊 Derivatives Watch
- Nifty PCR: Above 1 → Put dominance indicates cautious bullish sentiment.
- Bank Nifty: Fresh Put writing at 55,000 strike; Call writing also at 55,000 = Tug-of-war zone.
💰 FII & DII Flow (12th Sept 2025)
- FII: -₹37,528 Cr (heavy outflow)
- DII: +₹75,700 Cr (strong support buying)
DII inflows are offsetting FII selling, helping markets sustain uptrend.
🚀 IPO Watch
- Today (15 Sept): TechD Cybersecurity Ltd (₹183–193).
- Tomorrow (16 Sept): L.T. Elevator Ltd (₹76–78).
- 17 Sept: Airfloa Rail Tech Ltd (₹133–140).
📖 Word of the Day – Correlation Coefficient
A measure of how two assets move relative to each other (range -1 to +1).
- +0.8 = strong positive link (both rise together).
- -0.6 = inverse relation (hedging potential).
🔮 Outlook for 15th September 2025
- Bias: Positive but cautious due to weak GIFT Nifty cues.
- Sectors to Watch: Banks (indecision but positive setup), Healthcare (Apollo, Dr Reddy’s in focus), Renewable Energy (Adani, Shakti, Waaree Energies).
- Investor Takeaway: Stick to large-caps with strong fundamentals; avoid over-leveraging in small/midcap
Disclaimer
Training & Educational Only — This material are provided for educational purposes only. Nothing here is investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell financial instruments. Past simulated or historical performance does not predict future results. Always perform full back testing and risk management, and consider seeking advice from a qualified financial professional before trading with real capital.
