14th October Market Report

📊 Daily Market Pulse — 14 October 2025 (10:20 AM IST)

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🌀 Fear & Greed Index

• Current Reading: 64.66 — Greed Zone
• Weekly Change: +10.27 points (up from 54.39)
• Sentiment: Optimistic; traders buying on dips despite mixed global cues.
• Interpretation: Market remains in a bullish but overextended phase — new long entries require caution and disciplined risk management.

“The most contrarian thing of all is not to oppose the crowd but to think for yourself.” — Peter Thiel

🌏 Global & Domestic Market Overview (10:20 AM IST)

Region / Market	Index (ticker)	Level (High – Low)	% Change	Trend
India	Nifty 50	25,227.35 (25,310 – 25,120)	–0.23%	Mild Correction
India	Sensex	82,327.05 (82,515 – 82,210)	–0.21%	Flat to Weak
India	Bank Nifty	56,625.00 (56,780 – 56,420)	+0.03%	Sideways
USA	Dow Jones	46,067.58 (46,380 – 45,700)	+1.29%	Rebound
USA	Nasdaq Composite	22,694.61 (22,780 – 22,350)	+2.21%	Strong Uptrend
USA	S&P 500	6,654.72 (6,710 – 6,600)	+1.56%	Positive
Germany	DAX 40	24,387.93 (24,440 – 24,190)	+0.60%	Stable
France	CAC 40	7,934.26 (7,960 – 7,890)	+0.21%	Flat
UK	FTSE 100	9,442.87 (9,470 – 9,410)	+0.16%	Steady
Hong Kong	Hang Seng	25,983.41 (26,100 – 25,820)	+0.36%	Mild Recovery
Japan	Nikkei 225	47,600.02 (47,920 – 47,400)	–1.02%	Weak
South Korea	KOSPI	3,609.93 (3,625 – 3,590)	+0.71%	Positive
Australia	ASX 200	8,870.10 (8,910 – 8,860)	–0.14%	Weak
GIFT Nifty	GIFT Nifty	25,315.50 (25,350 – 25,260)	+0.04%	Rangebound
Volatility	India VIX	11.01 (11.15 – 10.40)	+8.96%	Volatility Up
FX	USD/INR	88.65 (88.75 – 88.60)	–0.01%	Flat

📰 Market Bulletin — Key Headlines

• US Markets: Rebounded sharply — Dow +1.29%, Nasdaq +2.21% as US–China tensions eased. Tech rallied: Broadcom +9.88%, Micron +6.15%, Tesla +5.42%.
• India Macro: CPI inflation eased to 1.54% (Sept) — 8-year low, well below RBI’s comfort zone, boosting sentiment for a policy rate cut.
• Silver Surge: Domestic silver prices hit record ₹1.71 lakh/kg, outperforming gold amid industrial and investor demand.
• Trade Tensions: US and China to impose mutual port fees; exemptions for China-built vessels.
• Rupee: Stable at ₹88.65 per USD, supported by FII flows and RBI intervention.
• Oil: Brent stable above $63/bbl; WTI near $60 after recovering from last week’s 3.8% drop.
• Crypto: Global crypto market lost $550B after Trump’s 100% China tariff plan — Bitcoin & Ether corrected sharply.
• Corporate:
  • HCLTech hired 5,200 freshers, attrition down to 12.6% (7-quarter low).
  • Lenskart plans ₹8,000 crore IPO (₹2,150 crore fresh issue).
  • TCS cuts H1-B dependency, expands US local hiring.

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📈 Index Technicals

🔹 Nifty 50 — 25,227.35 (–0.23%)

• Trend: Flat to mild correction after recent highs.
• Supports: 25,000 / 24,900
• Resistances: 25,400 / 25,500
• Indicators:
  • RSI: 58.5 → positive bias.
  • MACD & Stochastic RSI → bullish crossover intact.
  • Trading above 20-, 50-, and 100-EMA = sustained uptrend.

🔹 Bank Nifty — 56,625 (+0.03%)

• Trend: Sideways consolidation.
• Supports: 55,600 / 55,000
• Resistances: 56,800 / 57,200
• Technical View: 20-day EMA acts as key support (~55,600). RSI at 66.9 remains bullish; MACD positive with widening histogram.

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📌 Stocks in News

Company	Update
KEC International	Won ₹1,174 crore T&D project orders in India & MEA.
PNC Infratech	Formed new renewable energy subsidiary.
Lloyds Engineering	MoU with Poland’s Flyfocus for FPV drone development.
RBL Bank	Emirates NBD to acquire ~60% stake for $3B.
Hero MotoCorp	Raised ₹1,100 crore via QIP at ₹662/share.
Lodha Developers	Entered Italian market; expands to 49th country.
63 Moons Technologies	Acquired 8.37 acres land in Bengaluru.
KFin Technologies	Subsidiary raised ₹65.1 crore via private placement.
Anand Rathi Wealth	Completed 51% stake buy in Ascent Fund Services.
Oil India	Upgraded Numaligarh–Siliguri pipeline to 5.5 MMTPA.
RSWM Ltd	Bought ₹54.11 crore textile machinery from Birla Advanced Knits.
LT Foods	Acquired 3 Global Green entities via EU arm.
Just Dial	Q2 profit down 22.5% YoY; revenue up 6.4%.
Eicher Motors	EV division head Mario Alvisi resigned.
5Paisa Capital	SEBI fines ₹3L for bond platform violations.

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💰 FII & DII Activity (Cash Market till 13 Oct 2025)

Date	FII (₹ Cr)	DII (₹ Cr)
13 Oct 2025	–26,509.3	+52,326.7
10 Oct 2025	–2,780.2	+19,892.1
09 Oct 2025	+3,049.3	+5,688.2
08 Oct 2025	–240.1	+2,333.4
07 Oct 2025	+459.2	+1,707.8

Interpretation:
FIIs remain net sellers; DIIs sustain markets via steady buying in financials & defensives.

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🚀 Current IPOs (Active as of 14 Oct 2025)

Company	Open	Close	Price Band (₹)	Status
Sihora Industries Ltd	10-Oct	14-Oct	66–70	Closes today
Shlokka Dyes Ltd	30-Sep	14-Oct	88–91	Closes today
Canara HSBC Life Insurance Co.	10-Oct	14-Oct	100–106	Closes today
SK Minerals & Additives Ltd	10-Oct	14-Oct	120–127	Closes today

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💎 Commodities & Metals (10:20 AM IST)

Segment	Price	% Change	View
Gold (India)	₹117,950 / 10g	–0.10%	Mild correction; INR strength capping upside.
Silver (India)	₹171,000 / kg	+0.35%	Record high; industrial & investor demand strong.
Copper (LME)	$10,305 / t	+0.12%	Supported by tight supply.
Aluminium (LME)	$2,710 / t	–	Balanced.
Zinc (LME)	$2,965 / t	–	Stable.
Brent Crude	$63.20 / bbl	+0.25%	Steady as trade tensions cool.
WTI Crude	$60.10 / bbl	+0.20%	Rangebound.
Natural Gas	$3.28 / MMBtu	–	Mild seasonal demand.

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💱 Forex & Crypto (10:20 AM IST)

• USD/INR: 88.65 (flat) — Rupee stable.
• Dollar Index: 99.34 — Dollar firm; risk sentiment improves.
• Bitcoin: $118,400 (–4.2%) — post-liquidation recovery weak.
• Ethereum: $3,990 (–5.1%) — pressure continues amid crypto sell-off.

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⚠️ Top 5 Risk Triggers for Indian Markets

1. FII Outflows: Persistent; liquidity imbalance risk.
2. USD/INR Volatility: Flat now but sensitive to Fed tone.
3. Silver Bubble Risk: Sharp speculative inflows — watch corrections.
4. RBI Liquidity: OMO actions & inflation outlook crucial.
5. Global Trade Uncertainty: Port fees & tariffs may resurface.

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🔮 Outlook for 14 October 2025

• Bias: Rangebound-to-positive; volatility to rise ahead of earnings.
• Nifty Range: 25,100–25,400 | Bank Nifty: 55,900–56,800
• Sectors to Watch: Metals, Energy, PSU Banks strong; IT & Auto soft.
• Tactical View: Buy on dips; maintain trailing stops above 25,000 for positional longs.

📅 Economic Calendar — Key Announcements (India, USA, Europe)

India (near-term / high-impact)

• CPI (Consumer Price Index) — Sep: Released Oct 13 (low reading supports disinflation narrative).
• WPI / PPI — Sep: Expected mid-October (watch for input cost trends).
• IIP (Industrial Production) / PMI: Monthly prints in the coming week — update on manufacturing momentum.
• Trade Balance (Sep): Scheduled this week — key for current account / rupee reaction.
• RBI Statements / Liquidity Operations: Ongoing — monitor scheduled OMO / RRP windows.

United States (watch-list & dates)

• CPI (Sep): Scheduled mid-October — primary data for Fed policy outlook.
• PPI (Producer Prices): Follows CPI; monitor for input inflation trends.
• Retail Sales & Industrial Production: Key activity indicators through the week.
• FOMC Minutes / Fed Speakers: Any shift in messaging will move global risk sentiment and USD.

Europe (core data & central bank)

• Eurozone CPI (Final) — Sep: Mid-October release — ECB reaction sensitive to core surprise.
• Germany ZEW / Sentiment Index: Regular monthly release — indicator for macro momentum in Europe.
• ECB Remarks / Governing Council Speeches: Watch dates for any change in ECB forward guidance.
• UK GDP / PMI: Key growth signals that may influence GBP and European risk flows.

Why these matter: CPI/PPI data and central-bank commentary are primary drivers of rate expectations. Surprises can trigger rapid moves in equities, bonds, FX and commodities — particularly relevant given current FII/DII flows and rupee sensitivity.

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📜 Disclaimer — aiTrendview.com

This report is created only for training, educational and informational purposes. It is not investment or trading advice, nor a research report. aiTrendview.com contributors are not SEBI-registered analysts. Market data and interpretations are AI-aggregated from public sources. Consult licensed financial professionals before acting.