๐ Fear & Greed Index
- Current Reading: 54.39 โ Greed Zone
- Weekly Change: +2.41 points (mild uptick from 52).
- Sentiment: Market mood continues to lean positive, but traders are advised to stay cautious with new entries due to overbought conditions.
โPrepare for losses. Losses are a part and parcel of a stock market investorโs life.โ
โ Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
๐ Global & Domestic Market Overview (10:15 AM IST)
| Region | Index | Level | % Change |
| ๐ฎ๐ณ Nifty 50 | 25,077.65 | โฒ +0.74% | |
| ๐ฎ๐ณ Sensex | 81,790.12 | โฒ +0.72% | |
| ๐ฎ๐ณ Bank Nifty | 56,104.85 | โฒ +0.93% | |
| ๐ฏ๐ต Nikkei 225 | 48,265.30 | โฒ +0.67% | |
| ๐ญ๐ฐ Hang Seng | 26,957.77 | โผ โ0.67% | |
| ๐ฉ๐ช DAX 40 | 24,378.29 | flat | |
| ๐ซ๐ท CAC 40 | 7,971.78 | โผ โ1.36% | |
| ๐ฌ๐ง FTSE 100 | 9,479.14 | โผ โ0.13% | |
| ๐บ๐ธ Dow Jones | 46,694.97 | โผ โ0.14% | |
| ๐บ๐ธ Nasdaq | 22,941.67 | โฒ +0.71% | |
| ๐บ๐ธ S&P 500 | 6,740.28 | โฒ +0.36% | |
| ๐ฐ๐ท KOSPI | 3,549.21 | โฒ +2.70% | |
| ๐ฆ๐บ ASX 200 | 8,964.30 | โผ โ0.19% |
India VIX: 10.19 (โ 1.32%) โ slight uptick in volatility.
USD/INR: 88.73 (+0.03%) โ rupee near record low.
GIFT Nifty: 25,159 (flat pre-open indication).
๐ฐ Market Bulletin โ Key Developments
- US Markets: Mixed performance overnight โ S&P 500 +0.36%, Nasdaq +0.71% hitting record highs, while Dow slipped 0.14%.
- AMD surged 38% on a multi-year AI chip deal with OpenAI, driving semiconductor stocks higher.
- AppLovin fell 14% after the SEC opened a probe into its ad-data practices.
- Oil Prices: Brent holding above $65; WTI near $62 after OPEC+ maintained output policy.
- Rupee: Closed at 88.79 on Monday, near all-time lows; RBI likely intervening to stabilize.
- India Telecom: Jio added 19.5 lakh users in August, Airtel flat, Vodafone Idea lost 3.1 lakh subscribers.
- Adani Green Energy: Raised $250 million offshore loan from four global banks โ first since DOJ inquiry.
- LG Electronics India IPO: Raised โน3,474 crore from anchor investors ahead of listing.
- US Shutdown: Enters 6th day; Treasury warns of delayed payments if Congress deadlocks further.
๐ Index Technicals (10:15 AM IST)
๐น Nifty 50 โ 25,077.65 (+0.74%)
- Trend: Bullish for 3rd consecutive session.
- Forming higher highs & higher lows; closed above key MAs and 50% retracement of recent decline.
- Supports: 25,000 / 24,900
- Resistances: 25,100 / 25,250
- RSI: 55.26 (bullish crossover)
- MACD: Turning positive, indicating momentum recovery.
๐น Bank Nifty โ 56,104.85 (+0.93%)
- Strong breakout above falling resistance with high volume.
- All short-term EMAs aligned bullish (10 > 20 > 50 > 100).
- RSI: 63.42 โ healthy bullish zone.
- MACD: Positive with strong histogram expansion.
- Support: 55,000 | Resistance: 57,000
๐ Stocks in News
| Company | News / Update |
| Brigade Enterprises | JV signed for โน1,000 crore luxury project in Chennai. |
| LTIMindtree | Secures largest-ever multi-year global media contract. |
| Bank of India | Global business up 11.8% YoY; deposits strong. |
| NIBE | Wins โน20.57 crore defense order. |
| PNC Infratech | NHAI project approvals received. |
| Oil India | Enters LNG partnership with Mahanagar Gas. |
| Coal India | MoU with CMDC for critical minerals exploration. |
| Dilip Buildcon | Received โน100 MW solar project LOA. |
| Medico Remedies | Bags $1.78M export order to Turkmenistan. |
| Havells India | Makes HVAC division fully owned subsidiary. |
| HCL Tech | Partners with MIT Media Lab for AI collaboration. |
| Astral | Completes merger with Quality Care India. |
| Aster DM Healthcare | 23% YoY growth in consolidated revenues. |
| Metropolis Healthcare | NOC received from Health Canada for generic drug. |
| Zydus Lifesciences | Starts production at new Kanpur plant. |
| Vodafone Idea | Faces GST demand of โน307 crore; subscriber losses persist. |
| Karur Vysya Bank | Tax demand cases from FY20โ23 under interim stay. |
| Prestige Estates | Subsidiary receives โน307 crore GST demand notice. |
๐ฐ FII & DII Activity (Cash Market till 04 Oct)
| Date | FII (โน Cr) | DII (โน Cr) |
| 06 Oct 2025 | โ313.8 | +5,036.4 |
| 03 Oct 2025 | โ1,583.4 | +489.8 |
| 01 Oct 2025 | โ1,605.2 | +2,916.1 |
| Last Week | โ5,829.5 | +14,203.9 |
Interpretation: FIIs remain consistent sellers; DIIs cushioning declines via long build-ups and ETF inflows.
๐ IPO Tracker
| Company | Open | Close | Price Band (โน) | Status |
| LG Electronics India Ltd | 03-Oct | 07-Oct | 1080โ1140 | Closes today |
| Wework India Mgmt Ltd | 03-Oct | 07-Oct | 615โ648 | Subscribed 0.07ร |
| Tata Capital Ltd | 06-Oct | 09-Oct | 310โ326 | Active |
| Mittal Sections Ltd | 07-Oct | 09-Oct | 136โ143 | Active |
| NSB BPO Solutions | 23-Sep | 07-Oct | 121โ140 | Closing today |
| Anantam Highways Trust | 07-Oct | 09-Oct | 98โ100 | Newly opened |
๐ Commodities & Metals (10:15 AM IST)
| Segment | Price | Movement | Fundamental Note |
| Gold (India) | โน118,040 / 10g | โฒ +0.10% | Safe-haven flows; INR depreciation aiding domestic price. |
| Silver (India) | โน144,520 / kg | โฒ +0.08% | Industrial and EV demand supportive. |
| Copper (LME) | $10,290 / t | โ | Supply tightness persists. |
| Aluminium (LME) | $2,695 / t | โ | Balanced demand outlook. |
| Zinc (LME) | $2,950 / t | โ | Stable galvanisation consumption. |
| Brent Crude | $65.18 / bbl | โฒ +0.2% | OPEC+ monitoring supply discipline. |
| WTI Crude | $62.15 / bbl | โฒ +0.3% | Supported by steady US drawdowns. |
| Natural Gas | $3.28 / MMBtu | โ | Mild winter demand support. |
๐ฑ Forex & Crypto (10:15 AM IST)
- USD/INR: 88.73 โ rupee weak near record low.
- Bitcoin: $125,240 โ extends rally to new record highs.
- Ethereum: $4,200 โ strong buying momentum.
- Dollar Index (DXY): 98.10 โ stable.
โ ๏ธ Top 5 Risk Triggers to Watch
- FII Outflows โ Continued foreign selling pressure in October.
- USD/INR Depreciation โ Adds inflationary pressure to imports.
- Oil Price Volatility โ Above $70 will stress Indiaโs trade deficit.
- RBI Liquidity Trends โ Tax outflows may tighten short-term funding.
- US Shutdown & Fed Minutes โ Global risk sentiment remains fragile.
๐ฎ Outlook & Strategy for 07 Oct 2025
- Bias: Mildly Bullish โ Market momentum intact but overextended.
- Range: Nifty 25,000โ25,250; Bank Nifty 56,000โ57,000.
- Sectors to Watch: Metals, PSU Banks, Infra strong; IT & Pharma stable; FMCG muted.
- Tactical View:
- Trail profits above 25,000 Nifty.
- Avoid chasing extended stocks; wait for dips.
- Use gold & defensive hedges amid USD strength.
๐ Word of the Day โ “Gamma”
Gamma measures the rate of change in an optionโs delta with respect to the underlying assetโs price.
High gamma means delta changes rapidly, increasing both reward and risk โ key for managing short-term derivative trades.
๐ Disclaimer โ aiTrendview.com
This report is intended only for training, educational, and informational purposes.
It does not constitute investment advice, trading recommendations, or research analysis.
aiTrendview.com and its contributors are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisers.
Market information herein is aggregated using AI-assisted tools from multiple public data sources.
Readers and learners should consult certified professionals before making investment or trading decisions.
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